Oregon's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in the market's 95% implied probability for a Democratic victory. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with roughly 87% in the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced with about 71% on her side. The district's partisan voting index exceeds D+20, and prior general election results have shown Democratic margins near 40 points. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid D rating. A late national Republican surge, unexpected retirement or health event involving the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors and recent primary results have anchored trader consensus around the Democratic outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateOR-01 House Election Winner
OR-01 House Election Winner
$13,160 Vol.
$13,160 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$13,160 Vol.
$13,160 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,566 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$2,594 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in the market's 95% implied probability for a Democratic victory. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with roughly 87% in the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced with about 71% on her side. The district's partisan voting index exceeds D+20, and prior general election results have shown Democratic margins near 40 points. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid D rating. A late national Republican surge, unexpected retirement or health event involving the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors and recent primary results have anchored trader consensus around the Democratic outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$13,160Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in the market's 95% implied probability for a Democratic victory. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with roughly 87% in the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced with about 71% on her side. The district's partisan voting index exceeds D+20, and prior general election results have shown Democratic margins near 40 points. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid D rating. A late national Republican surge, unexpected retirement or health event involving the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors and recent primary results have anchored trader consensus around the Democratic outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,160Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in the market's 95% implied probability for a Democratic victory. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with roughly 87% in the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced with about 71% on her side. The district's partisan voting index exceeds D+20, and prior general election results have shown Democratic margins near 40 points. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid D rating. A late national Republican surge, unexpected retirement or health event involving the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors and recent primary results have anchored trader consensus around the Democratic outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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