Tom Suozzi, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in the NY-03 race after defeating primary challenger Danielle Welch by a wide margin in June 2026. This rematch against Republican Mike LiPetri follows Suozzi’s narrow 2024 general election victory in the North Shore Nassau County and northeast Queens district. The seat’s modest Democratic lean, combined with the advantages of incumbency and established fundraising, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current 85.5% implied probability for Democrats. No major late-breaking developments have altered the competitive baseline in recent weeks, leaving the outcome sensitive to broader midterm turnout dynamics.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNY-03 House Election Winner
NY-03 House Election Winner
$11,095 Vol.
$11,095 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
86%
Republican Party
15%
$11,095 Vol.
$11,095 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,266 Vol.
86%
Republican Party
$6,828 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Suozzi, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in the NY-03 race after defeating primary challenger Danielle Welch by a wide margin in June 2026. This rematch against Republican Mike LiPetri follows Suozzi’s narrow 2024 general election victory in the North Shore Nassau County and northeast Queens district. The seat’s modest Democratic lean, combined with the advantages of incumbency and established fundraising, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current 85.5% implied probability for Democrats. No major late-breaking developments have altered the competitive baseline in recent weeks, leaving the outcome sensitive to broader midterm turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Volume
$11,095Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Suozzi, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in the NY-03 race after defeating primary challenger Danielle Welch by a wide margin in June 2026. This rematch against Republican Mike LiPetri follows Suozzi’s narrow 2024 general election victory in the North Shore Nassau County and northeast Queens district. The seat’s modest Democratic lean, combined with the advantages of incumbency and established fundraising, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current 85.5% implied probability for Democrats. No major late-breaking developments have altered the competitive baseline in recent weeks, leaving the outcome sensitive to broader midterm turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,095Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Suozzi, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in the NY-03 race after defeating primary challenger Danielle Welch by a wide margin in June 2026. This rematch against Republican Mike LiPetri follows Suozzi’s narrow 2024 general election victory in the North Shore Nassau County and northeast Queens district. The seat’s modest Democratic lean, combined with the advantages of incumbency and established fundraising, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current 85.5% implied probability for Democrats. No major late-breaking developments have altered the competitive baseline in recent weeks, leaving the outcome sensitive to broader midterm turnout dynamics.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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