Nicolás Maduro has remained in US federal custody in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture by US military forces during an operation that removed him from power in Venezuela. He and his wife face drug-trafficking charges in Manhattan federal court, where they pleaded not guilty; a June 2027 trial date was set in July 2026. Venezuelan officials, including the acting government, have issued repeated diplomatic demands for his release, describing the detention as unlawful and pressing the matter at the UN. Key variables shaping outcomes include ongoing legal motions, possible appeals, bilateral negotiations, executive clemency decisions, or shifts in US-Venezuela policy ahead of the trial window. No release has occurred as of early August 2026.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$2,684,311 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
Disyembre 31
8%
$2,684,311 Vol.
Disyembre 31
$288,862 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in US federal custody in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture by US military forces during an operation that removed him from power in Venezuela. He and his wife face drug-trafficking charges in Manhattan federal court, where they pleaded not guilty; a June 2027 trial date was set in July 2026. Venezuelan officials, including the acting government, have issued repeated diplomatic demands for his release, describing the detention as unlawful and pressing the matter at the UN. Key variables shaping outcomes include ongoing legal motions, possible appeals, bilateral negotiations, executive clemency decisions, or shifts in US-Venezuela policy ahead of the trial window. No release has occurred as of early August 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Volume
$2,684,311Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in US federal custody in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture by US military forces during an operation that removed him from power in Venezuela. He and his wife face drug-trafficking charges in Manhattan federal court, where they pleaded not guilty; a June 2027 trial date was set in July 2026. Venezuelan officials, including the acting government, have issued repeated diplomatic demands for his release, describing the detention as unlawful and pressing the matter at the UN. Key variables shaping outcomes include ongoing legal motions, possible appeals, bilateral negotiations, executive clemency decisions, or shifts in US-Venezuela policy ahead of the trial window. No release has occurred as of early August 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,684,311Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in US federal custody in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture by US military forces during an operation that removed him from power in Venezuela. He and his wife face drug-trafficking charges in Manhattan federal court, where they pleaded not guilty; a June 2027 trial date was set in July 2026. Venezuelan officials, including the acting government, have issued repeated diplomatic demands for his release, describing the detention as unlawful and pressing the matter at the UN. Key variables shaping outcomes include ongoing legal motions, possible appeals, bilateral negotiations, executive clemency decisions, or shifts in US-Venezuela policy ahead of the trial window. No release has occurred as of early August 2026.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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