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Halalan·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

NH-01 Republican Primary Winner

icon for NH-01 Republican Primary Winner
Halalan·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

NH-01 Republican Primary Winner

Anthony DiLorenzo 74%

Hollie Noveletsky 25%

Melissa Bailey <1%

Brian Cole <1%

Polymarket

$117,060 Vol.

Anthony DiLorenzo 74%

Hollie Noveletsky 25%

Melissa Bailey <1%

Brian Cole <1%

Polymarket

$117,060 Vol.

icon for Anthony DiLorenzo

Anthony DiLorenzo

$49,829 Vol.

74%

icon for Hollie Noveletsky

Hollie Noveletsky

$40,954 Vol.

25%

icon for Melissa Bailey

Melissa Bailey

$3,997 Vol.

<1%

icon for Brian Cole

Brian Cole

$4,580 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elizabeth Girard

Elizabeth Girard

$17,701 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Anthony DiLorenzo holds the lead in trader consensus for the New Hampshire 1st Congressional District Republican primary, supported by President Trump's July 2026 endorsement, backing from House GOP leadership, and inclusion in the NRCC's MAGA Majority program. His self-funded campaign has built a substantial cash advantage, exceeding $1 million raised largely from personal resources, ahead of the September 8 vote. Melissa Bailey's July withdrawal and endorsement further consolidated support behind him. Hollie Noveletsky, the primary remaining challenger, emphasizes grassroots conservative positions on trade, manufacturing, and borders but trails in fundraising and institutional backing. Recent polling has fluctuated with many undecided voters, while minor candidates register negligible shares amid field consolidation.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$117,060
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 8, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Anthony DiLorenzo holds the lead in trader consensus for the New Hampshire 1st Congressional District Republican primary, supported by President Trump's July 2026 endorsement, backing from House GOP leadership, and inclusion in the NRCC's MAGA Majority program. His self-funded campaign has built a substantial cash advantage, exceeding $1 million raised largely from personal resources, ahead of the September 8 vote. Melissa Bailey's July withdrawal and endorsement further consolidated support behind him. Hollie Noveletsky, the primary remaining challenger, emphasizes grassroots conservative positions on trade, manufacturing, and borders but trails in fundraising and institutional backing. Recent polling has fluctuated with many undecided voters, while minor candidates register negligible shares amid field consolidation.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$117,060
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 8, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Kaugnay

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Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee?

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "NH-01 Republican Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Anthony DiLorenzo" sa 74%, sinusundan ng "Hollie Noveletsky" sa 25%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 74¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 74% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "NH-01 Republican Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $117.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Feb 23, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "NH-01 Republican Primary Winner," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "NH-01 Republican Primary Winner" ay "Anthony DiLorenzo" sa 74%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 74% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Hollie Noveletsky" sa 25%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "NH-01 Republican Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.