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icon for Mojtaba Khamenei pampublikong hitsura sa pamamagitan ng...?

Mojtaba Khamenei pampublikong hitsura sa pamamagitan ng...?

icon for Mojtaba Khamenei pampublikong hitsura sa pamamagitan ng...?

Mojtaba Khamenei pampublikong hitsura sa pamamagitan ng...?

$7,083,827 Vol.

Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$7,083,827 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30

$372,245 Vol.

3%

October 31

$6,466 Vol.

10%

December 31

$585,908 Vol.

22%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei has issued only written statements and undated or pre-recorded media since succeeding his father as Iran's Supreme Leader following the February 2026 airstrike that killed Ali Khamenei and injured Mojtaba. He has avoided all verified live public appearances, including his father's July funeral ceremonies, amid reports of leg, arm, and facial injuries that complicate mobility and raise security risks from ongoing regional tensions. State media has released limited clips purporting to show him in private settings, but without independent verification of timing or current condition, while officials cite protection concerns and affirm his involvement in decisions. Recent meetings claimed by President Pezeshkian and occasional decrees have not altered the pattern of absence. Trader assessments of an imminent appearance hinge on whether security conditions ease, health permits, or scheduled events such as religious observances or policy announcements compel a visible role.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Volume
$7,083,827
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei has issued only written statements and undated or pre-recorded media since succeeding his father as Iran's Supreme Leader following the February 2026 airstrike that killed Ali Khamenei and injured Mojtaba. He has avoided all verified live public appearances, including his father's July funeral ceremonies, amid reports of leg, arm, and facial injuries that complicate mobility and raise security risks from ongoing regional tensions. State media has released limited clips purporting to show him in private settings, but without independent verification of timing or current condition, while officials cite protection concerns and affirm his involvement in decisions. Recent meetings claimed by President Pezeshkian and occasional decrees have not altered the pattern of absence. Trader assessments of an imminent appearance hinge on whether security conditions ease, health permits, or scheduled events such as religious observances or policy announcements compel a visible role.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Volume
$7,083,827
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Mojtaba Khamenei pampublikong hitsura sa pamamagitan ng...?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 14 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "December 31" sa 22%, sinusundan ng "October 31" sa 10%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 22¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 22% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Mojtaba Khamenei pampublikong hitsura sa pamamagitan ng...?" ay naka-generate ng $7.1 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Mar 9, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Mojtaba Khamenei pampublikong hitsura sa pamamagitan ng...?," i-browse ang 14 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Mojtaba Khamenei pampublikong hitsura sa pamamagitan ng...?" ay "December 31" sa 22%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 22% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "October 31" sa 10%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Mojtaba Khamenei pampublikong hitsura sa pamamagitan ng...?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.