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Politika·Krakao

Kraków Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Kraków Mayoral Election Winner
Politika·Krakao

Kraków Mayoral Election Winner

Łukasz Gibała 66%

Monika Piątkowska 15%

Michał Drewnicki 10.2%

Daria Gosek-Popiołek 10%

Polymarket
BAGO

Łukasz Gibała 66%

Monika Piątkowska 15%

Michał Drewnicki 10.2%

Daria Gosek-Popiołek 10%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Łukasz Gibała

Łukasz Gibała

$5,973 Vol.

66%

icon for Monika Piątkowska

Monika Piątkowska

$142 Vol.

15%

icon for Michał Drewnicki

Michał Drewnicki

$76 Vol.

10%

icon for Daria Gosek-Popiołek

Daria Gosek-Popiołek

$76 Vol.

10%

icon for Jan Hoffman

Jan Hoffman

$133 Vol.

7%

icon for Rafał Komarewicz

Rafał Komarewicz

$198 Vol.

8%

icon for Łukasz Wantuch

Łukasz Wantuch

$176 Vol.

7%

icon for Sławomir Pietrzyk

Sławomir Pietrzyk

$171 Vol.

6%

icon for Aleksandra Owca

Aleksandra Owca

$174 Vol.

5%

icon for Rafał Sonik

Rafał Sonik

$217 Vol.

5%

icon for Grażyna Zofia Świat

Grażyna Zofia Świat

$247 Vol.

5%

icon for Marian Banaś

Marian Banaś

$367 Vol.

4%

icon for Marianna Schreiber

Marianna Schreiber

$234 Vol.

3%

icon for Bartosz Bocheńczak

Bartosz Bocheńczak

$172 Vol.

1%

icon for Marta Ratuszyńska

Marta Ratuszyńska

$174 Vol.

1%

icon for Michał Klimek

Michał Klimek

$160 Vol.

1%

icon for Paweł Śliz

Paweł Śliz

$171 Vol.

1%

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała leads the Kraków mayoral race with the strongest trader consensus, driven by his established local independent movement, high name recognition from a narrow 2024 runoff loss, and the political opening created by the May 2026 recall referendum that ousted incumbent Aleksander Miszalski. Recent June and July polling showed him ahead of a fragmented field, including Monika Piątkowska (backed by KO-PSL), Michał Drewnicki (PiS), Daria Gosek-Popiołek (Left), and numerous lower-polling independents or minor-party figures, none of whom have consolidated significant support. The snap election scheduled for 27 September 2026 has seen limited late developments beyond Gibała’s formal candidacy confirmation, leaving the outcome sensitive to first-round vote splitting and turnout patterns typical in Polish local contests.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volume
$8,860
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 27, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała leads the Kraków mayoral race with the strongest trader consensus, driven by his established local independent movement, high name recognition from a narrow 2024 runoff loss, and the political opening created by the May 2026 recall referendum that ousted incumbent Aleksander Miszalski. Recent June and July polling showed him ahead of a fragmented field, including Monika Piątkowska (backed by KO-PSL), Michał Drewnicki (PiS), Daria Gosek-Popiołek (Left), and numerous lower-polling independents or minor-party figures, none of whom have consolidated significant support. The snap election scheduled for 27 September 2026 has seen limited late developments beyond Gibała’s formal candidacy confirmation, leaving the outcome sensitive to first-round vote splitting and turnout patterns typical in Polish local contests.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volume
$8,860
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 27, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 17 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Łukasz Gibała" sa 66%, sinusundan ng "Monika Piątkowska" sa 15%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 66¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 66% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 6, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner," i-browse ang 17 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" ay "Łukasz Gibała" sa 66%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 66% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Monika Piątkowska" sa 15%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Kraków Mayoral Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.