South Carolina's seven congressional districts remain structurally tilted toward Republicans, with Democrats' primary path to representation limited to retaining the heavily Democratic 6th district held by Jim Clyburn while facing long odds elsewhere. Retirements have opened the 1st and 5th districts, drawing stronger Democratic recruitment and placing the coastal 1st on the DCCC target list, where early 2026 polling showed competitive positioning amid national attention. Republican-led redistricting efforts, advanced through the state House in May, have introduced uncertainty that Democrats argue could create additional opportunities, though forecasts from Cook, Sabato, and others continue to rate most seats as Likely or Solid Republican. Primary results from June confirmed nominees without major disruptions, leaving limited time for late shifts before the November general election. Trader consensus therefore centers on one Democratic seat as the baseline outcome, with slim implied probabilities for net gains or losses.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHow many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?
How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?
1 63%
2 14%
0 11%
3+ 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 3, 2026
0
11%
1
63%
2
14%
3+
9%
1 63%
2 14%
0 11%
3+ 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 3, 2026
0
$20 Vol.
11%
1
$43 Vol.
63%
2
$0 Vol.
14%
3+
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in South Carolina in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All South Carolina US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.South Carolina's seven congressional districts remain structurally tilted toward Republicans, with Democrats' primary path to representation limited to retaining the heavily Democratic 6th district held by Jim Clyburn while facing long odds elsewhere. Retirements have opened the 1st and 5th districts, drawing stronger Democratic recruitment and placing the coastal 1st on the DCCC target list, where early 2026 polling showed competitive positioning amid national attention. Republican-led redistricting efforts, advanced through the state House in May, have introduced uncertainty that Democrats argue could create additional opportunities, though forecasts from Cook, Sabato, and others continue to rate most seats as Likely or Solid Republican. Primary results from June confirmed nominees without major disruptions, leaving limited time for late shifts before the November general election. Trader consensus therefore centers on one Democratic seat as the baseline outcome, with slim implied probabilities for net gains or losses.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in South Carolina in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All South Carolina US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All South Carolina US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 10:01 AM ET
Volume
$63Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 10:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in South Carolina in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All South Carolina US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.South Carolina's seven congressional districts remain structurally tilted toward Republicans, with Democrats' primary path to representation limited to retaining the heavily Democratic 6th district held by Jim Clyburn while facing long odds elsewhere. Retirements have opened the 1st and 5th districts, drawing stronger Democratic recruitment and placing the coastal 1st on the DCCC target list, where early 2026 polling showed competitive positioning amid national attention. Republican-led redistricting efforts, advanced through the state House in May, have introduced uncertainty that Democrats argue could create additional opportunities, though forecasts from Cook, Sabato, and others continue to rate most seats as Likely or Solid Republican. Primary results from June confirmed nominees without major disruptions, leaving limited time for late shifts before the November general election. Trader consensus therefore centers on one Democratic seat as the baseline outcome, with slim implied probabilities for net gains or losses.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in South Carolina in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All South Carolina US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All South Carolina US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$63Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 10:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...South Carolina's seven congressional districts remain structurally tilted toward Republicans, with Democrats' primary path to representation limited to retaining the heavily Democratic 6th district held by Jim Clyburn while facing long odds elsewhere. Retirements have opened the 1st and 5th districts, drawing stronger Democratic recruitment and placing the coastal 1st on the DCCC target list, where early 2026 polling showed competitive positioning amid national attention. Republican-led redistricting efforts, advanced through the state House in May, have introduced uncertainty that Democrats argue could create additional opportunities, though forecasts from Cook, Sabato, and others continue to rate most seats as Likely or Solid Republican. Primary results from June confirmed nominees without major disruptions, leaving limited time for late shifts before the November general election. Trader consensus therefore centers on one Democratic seat as the baseline outcome, with slim implied probabilities for net gains or losses.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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