David Harbour leads the market at 70.4% implied probability thanks to his central, critically praised turn as Floyd in the acclaimed HBO limited series “DTF St. Louis,” which earned 13 Emmy nominations and strong reviews for its dark-comedy murder mystery. Multiple submissions from the same ensemble create some risk of vote splitting, yet industry consensus and precursor buzz position Harbour ahead of costars Jason Bateman and Richard Jenkins. Charles Melton sits at 23.8% on the strength of his standout work in Netflix’s “Beef” Season 2, while Nick Offerman (“Death by Lightning”), Richard Gadd (“Half Man”), and Jenkins trail with far less momentum. With final-round voting concluded and the Sept. 14 ceremony imminent, traders are pricing in Harbour’s frontrunner status against realistic but limited upset potential from Melton.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateEmmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie
David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” 70.1%
Charles Melton – “Beef” 23.7%
Jason Bateman – “DTF St. Louis” 4.9%
Nick Offerman – “Death By Lightning” 4.0%
$28,099 Vol.
$28,099 Vol.
David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis”
70%
Charles Melton – “Beef”
24%
Jason Bateman – “DTF St. Louis”
5%
Nick Offerman – “Death By Lightning”
4%
Richard Gadd – “Half Man”
2%
Richard Jenkins – “DTF St. Louis”
<1%
David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” 70.1%
Charles Melton – “Beef” 23.7%
Jason Bateman – “DTF St. Louis” 4.9%
Nick Offerman – “Death By Lightning” 4.0%
$28,099 Vol.
$28,099 Vol.
David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis”
70%
Charles Melton – “Beef”
24%
Jason Bateman – “DTF St. Louis”
5%
Nick Offerman – “Death By Lightning”
4%
Richard Gadd – “Half Man”
2%
Richard Jenkins – “DTF St. Louis”
<1%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 10, 2026, 12:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...David Harbour leads the market at 70.4% implied probability thanks to his central, critically praised turn as Floyd in the acclaimed HBO limited series “DTF St. Louis,” which earned 13 Emmy nominations and strong reviews for its dark-comedy murder mystery. Multiple submissions from the same ensemble create some risk of vote splitting, yet industry consensus and precursor buzz position Harbour ahead of costars Jason Bateman and Richard Jenkins. Charles Melton sits at 23.8% on the strength of his standout work in Netflix’s “Beef” Season 2, while Nick Offerman (“Death by Lightning”), Richard Gadd (“Half Man”), and Jenkins trail with far less momentum. With final-round voting concluded and the Sept. 14 ceremony imminent, traders are pricing in Harbour’s frontrunner status against realistic but limited upset potential from Melton.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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