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icon for Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?
Politika·Mexico

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

icon for Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?
Politika·Mexico

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

$276,813 Vol.

Dec 30, 2026
Polymarket

$276,813 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31, 2026

$24,447 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Claudia Sheinbaum maintains a firm hold on the Mexican presidency following her October 2024 inauguration for a six-year term ending in 2030, with trader consensus reflecting minimal near-term removal risk due to her Morena party's legislative dominance and approval ratings in the low-to-mid 60s. Recent governance actions include anti-corruption purges within the ruling coalition, judicial branch adjustments, and an April 2026 decree launching phased universal health coverage starting in 2027, alongside security operations targeting cartels amid ongoing U.S. trade and migration pressures. No verified health incidents, impeachment proceedings, or recall mechanisms have surfaced to disrupt continuity, though midterm legislative dynamics and bilateral diplomacy with the United States represent the primary variables that could influence stability assessments in the coming months.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$276,813
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 24, 2026, 5:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Claudia Sheinbaum maintains a firm hold on the Mexican presidency following her October 2024 inauguration for a six-year term ending in 2030, with trader consensus reflecting minimal near-term removal risk due to her Morena party's legislative dominance and approval ratings in the low-to-mid 60s. Recent governance actions include anti-corruption purges within the ruling coalition, judicial branch adjustments, and an April 2026 decree launching phased universal health coverage starting in 2027, alongside security operations targeting cartels amid ongoing U.S. trade and migration pressures. No verified health incidents, impeachment proceedings, or recall mechanisms have surfaced to disrupt continuity, though midterm legislative dynamics and bilateral diplomacy with the United States represent the primary variables that could influence stability assessments in the coming months.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$276,813
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 24, 2026, 5:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "December 31, 2026" sa 3%, sinusundan ng "January 31, 2026" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 3¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 3% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?" ay naka-generate ng $276.8K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Oct 27, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Isa itong wide-open market. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna para sa "Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?" ay "December 31, 2026" sa 3% lang, na may "January 31, 2026" na malapit sa likod sa 0%. Walang outcome na may malakas na mayorya, kaya nakikita ito ng mga trader bilang highly uncertain, na maaaring magbigay ng mga kakaibang trading opportunity. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time, kaya i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para panoorin kung paano nag-e-evolve ang probabilities.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.