Katie Hobbs holds an 84.5% implied probability of carrying Maricopa County in the November 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, far ahead of Republican nominee Andy Biggs at 8%, with other listed options at 50%. Recent statewide polling averages show Hobbs ahead by roughly 7 points, driven by stronger support among independents, women, and suburban voters who dominate the county's electorate. Hobbs secured her Democratic nomination uncontested in the July primary, while Biggs consolidated Republican support after defeating David Schweikert by a wide margin. The county's urban and suburban composition favors the incumbent's record on issues such as education and healthcare, consistent with her 2022 performance there. Traders appear to weigh these structural advantages and current survey trends heavily, though the race remains within reach for Biggs if Republican turnout improves in the final weeks before Election Day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateBAGO
BAGO
Nov 3, 2026
Katie Hobbs (D)
86%
Andy Biggs (R)
8%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 3, 2026
Katie Hobbs (D)
$1,454 Vol.
86%
Andy Biggs (R)
$169 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.Katie Hobbs holds an 84.5% implied probability of carrying Maricopa County in the November 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, far ahead of Republican nominee Andy Biggs at 8%, with other listed options at 50%. Recent statewide polling averages show Hobbs ahead by roughly 7 points, driven by stronger support among independents, women, and suburban voters who dominate the county's electorate. Hobbs secured her Democratic nomination uncontested in the July primary, while Biggs consolidated Republican support after defeating David Schweikert by a wide margin. The county's urban and suburban composition favors the incumbent's record on issues such as education and healthcare, consistent with her 2022 performance there. Traders appear to weigh these structural advantages and current survey trends heavily, though the race remains within reach for Biggs if Republican turnout improves in the final weeks before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
Volume
$1,623Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.Katie Hobbs holds an 84.5% implied probability of carrying Maricopa County in the November 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, far ahead of Republican nominee Andy Biggs at 8%, with other listed options at 50%. Recent statewide polling averages show Hobbs ahead by roughly 7 points, driven by stronger support among independents, women, and suburban voters who dominate the county's electorate. Hobbs secured her Democratic nomination uncontested in the July primary, while Biggs consolidated Republican support after defeating David Schweikert by a wide margin. The county's urban and suburban composition favors the incumbent's record on issues such as education and healthcare, consistent with her 2022 performance there. Traders appear to weigh these structural advantages and current survey trends heavily, though the race remains within reach for Biggs if Republican turnout improves in the final weeks before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
Volume
$1,623Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Katie Hobbs holds an 84.5% implied probability of carrying Maricopa County in the November 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election, far ahead of Republican nominee Andy Biggs at 8%, with other listed options at 50%. Recent statewide polling averages show Hobbs ahead by roughly 7 points, driven by stronger support among independents, women, and suburban voters who dominate the county's electorate. Hobbs secured her Democratic nomination uncontested in the July primary, while Biggs consolidated Republican support after defeating David Schweikert by a wide margin. The county's urban and suburban composition favors the incumbent's record on issues such as education and healthcare, consistent with her 2022 performance there. Traders appear to weigh these structural advantages and current survey trends heavily, though the race remains within reach for Biggs if Republican turnout improves in the final weeks before Election Day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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