Ukraine’s ongoing counteroffensive in the Oleksandrivka direction has produced measurable territorial gains in 2026, with Ukrainian forces liberating dozens of settlements and over 600 square kilometers across Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, and Zaporizhzhia oblasts since January. Russian units lost control of key logistics nodes near Temyrivka, where Ukrainian strikes targeted concentrations of the 656th Motorized Rifle Regiment and placed supply routes under fire control. These developments occur amid broader attrition across the southern front, where both sides rely on drone strikes, glide bombs, and incremental infantry advances. Resolution hinges on whether Ukrainian units can convert localized pressure into confirmed entry into Obratne or Temyrivka before the market deadline, consistent with verified mapping from open-source assessments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by...?
$63,319 ปริมาณ
September 30
14%
December 31
44%
$63,319 ปริมาณ
September 30
14%
December 31
44%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 9:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine’s ongoing counteroffensive in the Oleksandrivka direction has produced measurable territorial gains in 2026, with Ukrainian forces liberating dozens of settlements and over 600 square kilometers across Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, and Zaporizhzhia oblasts since January. Russian units lost control of key logistics nodes near Temyrivka, where Ukrainian strikes targeted concentrations of the 656th Motorized Rifle Regiment and placed supply routes under fire control. These developments occur amid broader attrition across the southern front, where both sides rely on drone strikes, glide bombs, and incremental infantry advances. Resolution hinges on whether Ukrainian units can convert localized pressure into confirmed entry into Obratne or Temyrivka before the market deadline, consistent with verified mapping from open-source assessments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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