FIFA has repeatedly affirmed that Iran will participate in the 2026 World Cup as qualified, rejecting any political substitution despite suggestions from a U.S. envoy to insert Italy. Italian officials have dismissed the proposal as inappropriate, emphasizing qualification on the pitch, while the governing body prioritizes the Asian confederation's sporting process for any vacancy. Ongoing regional tensions have fueled speculation around alternatives like Iraq or the UAE, yet recent statements confirm no contingency plans are active. The dominant market pricing reflects this institutional stance, with replacement scenarios hinging on an unlikely formal Iranian withdrawal or escalated safety barriers preventing travel.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNo Replacement 98.4%
Other 1.2%
Italy <1%
UAE <1%
$68,431 ปริมาณ
$68,431 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
No Replacement
98%
Other
1%
Italy
<1%
UAE
<1%
Bolivia
<1%
No Replacement 98.4%
Other 1.2%
Italy <1%
UAE <1%
$68,431 ปริมาณ
$68,431 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
No Replacement
$23,538 ปริมาณ
98%
Other
$5,164 ปริมาณ
1%
Italy
$30,112 ปริมาณ
<1%
UAE
$6,052 ปริมาณ
<1%
Bolivia
$3,566 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA has repeatedly affirmed that Iran will participate in the 2026 World Cup as qualified, rejecting any political substitution despite suggestions from a U.S. envoy to insert Italy. Italian officials have dismissed the proposal as inappropriate, emphasizing qualification on the pitch, while the governing body prioritizes the Asian confederation's sporting process for any vacancy. Ongoing regional tensions have fueled speculation around alternatives like Iraq or the UAE, yet recent statements confirm no contingency plans are active. The dominant market pricing reflects this institutional stance, with replacement scenarios hinging on an unlikely formal Iranian withdrawal or escalated safety barriers preventing travel.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,431วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA has repeatedly affirmed that Iran will participate in the 2026 World Cup as qualified, rejecting any political substitution despite suggestions from a U.S. envoy to insert Italy. Italian officials have dismissed the proposal as inappropriate, emphasizing qualification on the pitch, while the governing body prioritizes the Asian confederation's sporting process for any vacancy. Ongoing regional tensions have fueled speculation around alternatives like Iraq or the UAE, yet recent statements confirm no contingency plans are active. The dominant market pricing reflects this institutional stance, with replacement scenarios hinging on an unlikely formal Iranian withdrawal or escalated safety barriers preventing travel.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,431วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...FIFA has repeatedly affirmed that Iran will participate in the 2026 World Cup as qualified, rejecting any political substitution despite suggestions from a U.S. envoy to insert Italy. Italian officials have dismissed the proposal as inappropriate, emphasizing qualification on the pitch, while the governing body prioritizes the Asian confederation's sporting process for any vacancy. Ongoing regional tensions have fueled speculation around alternatives like Iraq or the UAE, yet recent statements confirm no contingency plans are active. The dominant market pricing reflects this institutional stance, with replacement scenarios hinging on an unlikely formal Iranian withdrawal or escalated safety barriers preventing travel.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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