Google's repeated delays of the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship—originally targeted for June after its May 2026 I/O announcement, then July, and now described only as "coming soon" while partners test it—have left release timing highly uncertain. Lighter 3.5/3.6 Flash variants shipped in July, but the Pro model remains absent from the API and public pages that still list 3.1 Pro as current, with Gemini 4 training already underway. This competitive positioning against OpenAI and Anthropic, combined with Google's emphasis on extended internal validation for agentic and multimodal capabilities, has produced evenly matched market-implied odds across late-summer and early-fall windows. Key near-term catalysts include any official timeline update or major conference appearance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNo release by November 1 57%
September 7–September 13 44%
September 14–September 20 44%
September 21–September 27 44%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
Prior to August 31
38%
August 31–September 6
44%
September 7–September 13
44%
September 14–September 20
44%
September 21–September 27
44%
September 28–October 4
41%
October 5–October 11
41%
October 12–October 18
41%
October 19–October 25
24%
October 26–November 1
41%
No release by November 1
57%
No release by November 1 57%
September 7–September 13 44%
September 14–September 20 44%
September 21–September 27 44%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
Prior to August 31
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
August 31–September 6
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
September 7–September 13
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
September 14–September 20
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
September 21–September 27
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
September 28–October 4
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
October 5–October 11
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
October 12–October 18
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
October 19–October 25
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
October 26–November 1
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
No release by November 1
$8 ปริมาณ
57%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays of the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship—originally targeted for June after its May 2026 I/O announcement, then July, and now described only as "coming soon" while partners test it—have left release timing highly uncertain. Lighter 3.5/3.6 Flash variants shipped in July, but the Pro model remains absent from the API and public pages that still list 3.1 Pro as current, with Gemini 4 training already underway. This competitive positioning against OpenAI and Anthropic, combined with Google's emphasis on extended internal validation for agentic and multimodal capabilities, has produced evenly matched market-implied odds across late-summer and early-fall windows. Key near-term catalysts include any official timeline update or major conference appearance.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays of the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship—originally targeted for June after its May 2026 I/O announcement, then July, and now described only as "coming soon" while partners test it—have left release timing highly uncertain. Lighter 3.5/3.6 Flash variants shipped in July, but the Pro model remains absent from the API and public pages that still list 3.1 Pro as current, with Gemini 4 training already underway. This competitive positioning against OpenAI and Anthropic, combined with Google's emphasis on extended internal validation for agentic and multimodal capabilities, has produced evenly matched market-implied odds across late-summer and early-fall windows. Key near-term catalysts include any official timeline update or major conference appearance.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's repeated delays of the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship—originally targeted for June after its May 2026 I/O announcement, then July, and now described only as "coming soon" while partners test it—have left release timing highly uncertain. Lighter 3.5/3.6 Flash variants shipped in July, but the Pro model remains absent from the API and public pages that still list 3.1 Pro as current, with Gemini 4 training already underway. This competitive positioning against OpenAI and Anthropic, combined with Google's emphasis on extended internal validation for agentic and multimodal capabilities, has produced evenly matched market-implied odds across late-summer and early-fall windows. Key near-term catalysts include any official timeline update or major conference appearance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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