Magnus Carlsen and Hikaru Nakamura share the highest implied probabilities at 11.5% each for the August 4 Titled Tuesday winner, driven by their elite blitz ratings, proven consistency in weekly Chess.com online events, and strong recent form against elite fields. A broad group trails at 5.5% or lower, reflecting the tournament's wide-open structure with dozens of titled players competing in rapid time controls. Key differentiators include superior head-to-head records in similar formats, higher average scores in prior Titled Tuesdays, and greater familiarity with online platforms compared to over-the-board specialists like Gukesh Dommaraju or Ding Liren. Lower probabilities for the rest of the field stem from variability in recent results, fewer top finishes in high-volume blitz fields, and the inherent unpredictability of single-day Swiss-system events where upsets remain common.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMagnus Carlsen 20%
Hikaru Nakamura 11%
Javokhir Sindarov 10%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu 10%
Magnus Carlsen
11%
Hikaru Nakamura
11%
Javokhir Sindarov
10%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
10%
Awonder Liang
10%
Ding Liren
6%
Wei Yi
6%
Aravindh Chithambaram
6%
Alexander Grischuk
6%
Benjamin Bok
6%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
6%
Frederik Svane
6%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
6%
Andrey Esipenko
6%
Jose Martinez
6%
Le Tuan Minh
6%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
6%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
6%
Nikolas Theodorou
6%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
6%
Parham Maghsoodloo
6%
Rasmus Svane
6%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
6%
Vladislav Artemiev
6%
Gukesh Dommaraju
6%
Vladimir Fedoseev
6%
Christopher Yoo
6%
Andrew Tang
6%
Denis Lazavik
5%
Alireza Firouzja
5%
Faustino Oro
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Matthias Bluebaum
5%
Nihal Sarin
5%
Sam Sevian
5%
David Anton
5%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
5%
Vincent Keymer
4%
Arjun Erigaisi
4%
Sina Movahed
4%
Aleksandar Indjic
4%
Aleksandr Shimanov
4%
Bardiya Daneshvar
4%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
4%
Dmitry Andreikin
4%
Dau Khuong Duy
4%
Haik Martirosyan
4%
Hans Niemann
4%
Jules Moussard
4%
Pranav Venkatesh
4%
Renato Terry Lujan
4%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
4%
Brandon Jacobson
4%
Tuomas Turunen
4%
Dincer Tasdogen
4%
Haowen Xue
4%
Pranesh Munirethinam
4%
Rudik Makarian
4%
Sergey Sklokin
4%
Volen Dyulgerov
4%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
4%
Wesley So
4%
Aleksei Sarana
4%
Fabiano Caruana
4%
Levon Aronian
4%
Magnus Carlsen 20%
Hikaru Nakamura 11%
Javokhir Sindarov 10%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu 10%
Magnus Carlsen
11%
Hikaru Nakamura
11%
Javokhir Sindarov
10%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
10%
Awonder Liang
10%
Ding Liren
6%
Wei Yi
6%
Aravindh Chithambaram
6%
Alexander Grischuk
6%
Benjamin Bok
6%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
6%
Frederik Svane
6%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
6%
Andrey Esipenko
6%
Jose Martinez
6%
Le Tuan Minh
6%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
6%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
6%
Nikolas Theodorou
6%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
6%
Parham Maghsoodloo
6%
Rasmus Svane
6%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
6%
Vladislav Artemiev
6%
Gukesh Dommaraju
6%
Vladimir Fedoseev
6%
Christopher Yoo
6%
Andrew Tang
6%
Denis Lazavik
5%
Alireza Firouzja
5%
Faustino Oro
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Matthias Bluebaum
5%
Nihal Sarin
5%
Sam Sevian
5%
David Anton
5%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
5%
Vincent Keymer
4%
Arjun Erigaisi
4%
Sina Movahed
4%
Aleksandar Indjic
4%
Aleksandr Shimanov
4%
Bardiya Daneshvar
4%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
4%
Dmitry Andreikin
4%
Dau Khuong Duy
4%
Haik Martirosyan
4%
Hans Niemann
4%
Jules Moussard
4%
Pranav Venkatesh
4%
Renato Terry Lujan
4%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
4%
Brandon Jacobson
4%
Tuomas Turunen
4%
Dincer Tasdogen
4%
Haowen Xue
4%
Pranesh Munirethinam
4%
Rudik Makarian
4%
Sergey Sklokin
4%
Volen Dyulgerov
4%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
4%
Wesley So
4%
Aleksei Sarana
4%
Fabiano Caruana
4%
Levon Aronian
4%
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 30, 2026, 11:13 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Magnus Carlsen and Hikaru Nakamura share the highest implied probabilities at 11.5% each for the August 4 Titled Tuesday winner, driven by their elite blitz ratings, proven consistency in weekly Chess.com online events, and strong recent form against elite fields. A broad group trails at 5.5% or lower, reflecting the tournament's wide-open structure with dozens of titled players competing in rapid time controls. Key differentiators include superior head-to-head records in similar formats, higher average scores in prior Titled Tuesdays, and greater familiarity with online platforms compared to over-the-board specialists like Gukesh Dommaraju or Ding Liren. Lower probabilities for the rest of the field stem from variability in recent results, fewer top finishes in high-volume blitz fields, and the inherent unpredictability of single-day Swiss-system events where upsets remain common.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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