New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) larvae infest open wounds in warm-blooded animals, causing potentially fatal myiasis; the species was eradicated from the U.S. in the 1960s via sterile insect technique. USDA-APHIS confirmed the first domestic animal case on June 3, 2026, in Texas, with subsequent detections prompting expanded state disaster declarations and sterile fly releases along the border. Official surveillance through July 31 shows limited northward spread from Mexico, zero confirmed U.S. human acquisitions, and very low public risk per CDC assessments. Trader sentiment hinges on containment efficacy, model projections of further cases, and any escalation toward federal emergency measures, with upcoming APHIS status updates and sterile dispersal adjustments as key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วScrewworm National Emergency declared by...?
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
ใหม่
Jan 1, 2027
August 30
50%
October 31
44%
December 31
44%
$1,412 ปริมาณ
August 30
$30 ปริมาณ
50%
October 31
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
December 31
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) larvae infest open wounds in warm-blooded animals, causing potentially fatal myiasis; the species was eradicated from the U.S. in the 1960s via sterile insect technique. USDA-APHIS confirmed the first domestic animal case on June 3, 2026, in Texas, with subsequent detections prompting expanded state disaster declarations and sterile fly releases along the border. Official surveillance through July 31 shows limited northward spread from Mexico, zero confirmed U.S. human acquisitions, and very low public risk per CDC assessments. Trader sentiment hinges on containment efficacy, model projections of further cases, and any escalation toward federal emergency measures, with upcoming APHIS status updates and sterile dispersal adjustments as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,412วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) larvae infest open wounds in warm-blooded animals, causing potentially fatal myiasis; the species was eradicated from the U.S. in the 1960s via sterile insect technique. USDA-APHIS confirmed the first domestic animal case on June 3, 2026, in Texas, with subsequent detections prompting expanded state disaster declarations and sterile fly releases along the border. Official surveillance through July 31 shows limited northward spread from Mexico, zero confirmed U.S. human acquisitions, and very low public risk per CDC assessments. Trader sentiment hinges on containment efficacy, model projections of further cases, and any escalation toward federal emergency measures, with upcoming APHIS status updates and sterile dispersal adjustments as key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,412วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) larvae infest open wounds in warm-blooded animals, causing potentially fatal myiasis; the species was eradicated from the U.S. in the 1960s via sterile insect technique. USDA-APHIS confirmed the first domestic animal case on June 3, 2026, in Texas, with subsequent detections prompting expanded state disaster declarations and sterile fly releases along the border. Official surveillance through July 31 shows limited northward spread from Mexico, zero confirmed U.S. human acquisitions, and very low public risk per CDC assessments. Trader sentiment hinges on containment efficacy, model projections of further cases, and any escalation toward federal emergency measures, with upcoming APHIS status updates and sterile dispersal adjustments as key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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