Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas since the first USDA-confirmed case on June 3, 2026, have driven trader focus, with 37 animal cases reported through July 31 across Texas and New Mexico and zero domestically acquired human infestations. The parasite’s larvae cause myiasis by burrowing into living tissue of livestock and wildlife, a threat previously eliminated from the U.S. in 1966 through sterile insect technique. Texas issued and expanded state disaster declarations in June, while USDA APHIS leads containment via surveillance, sterile fly releases, and port controls; HHS’s 2025 emergency declaration enabled drug authorizations but no presidential national emergency has followed. Key upcoming factors include August 2026 port reopenings, new sterile fly facilities, and weekly case dashboards that could clarify whether federal escalation is warranted.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วScrewworm National Emergency declared by...?
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
ใหม่
Jan 1, 2027
August 30
50%
October 31
48%
December 31
44%
$1,412 ปริมาณ
August 30
$30 ปริมาณ
50%
October 31
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
December 31
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas since the first USDA-confirmed case on June 3, 2026, have driven trader focus, with 37 animal cases reported through July 31 across Texas and New Mexico and zero domestically acquired human infestations. The parasite’s larvae cause myiasis by burrowing into living tissue of livestock and wildlife, a threat previously eliminated from the U.S. in 1966 through sterile insect technique. Texas issued and expanded state disaster declarations in June, while USDA APHIS leads containment via surveillance, sterile fly releases, and port controls; HHS’s 2025 emergency declaration enabled drug authorizations but no presidential national emergency has followed. Key upcoming factors include August 2026 port reopenings, new sterile fly facilities, and weekly case dashboards that could clarify whether federal escalation is warranted.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,412วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas since the first USDA-confirmed case on June 3, 2026, have driven trader focus, with 37 animal cases reported through July 31 across Texas and New Mexico and zero domestically acquired human infestations. The parasite’s larvae cause myiasis by burrowing into living tissue of livestock and wildlife, a threat previously eliminated from the U.S. in 1966 through sterile insect technique. Texas issued and expanded state disaster declarations in June, while USDA APHIS leads containment via surveillance, sterile fly releases, and port controls; HHS’s 2025 emergency declaration enabled drug authorizations but no presidential national emergency has followed. Key upcoming factors include August 2026 port reopenings, new sterile fly facilities, and weekly case dashboards that could clarify whether federal escalation is warranted.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,412วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas since the first USDA-confirmed case on June 3, 2026, have driven trader focus, with 37 animal cases reported through July 31 across Texas and New Mexico and zero domestically acquired human infestations. The parasite’s larvae cause myiasis by burrowing into living tissue of livestock and wildlife, a threat previously eliminated from the U.S. in 1966 through sterile insect technique. Texas issued and expanded state disaster declarations in June, while USDA APHIS leads containment via surveillance, sterile fly releases, and port controls; HHS’s 2025 emergency declaration enabled drug authorizations but no presidential national emergency has followed. Key upcoming factors include August 2026 port reopenings, new sterile fly facilities, and weekly case dashboards that could clarify whether federal escalation is warranted.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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