Early festival momentum and high-profile subjects are shaping trader sentiment in this wide-open 2027 Best Documentary Feature race, where no film has locked in dominant precursor support. One in a Million leads at 42% implied probability after its Sundance 2026 wins for directing and audience awards, highlighting its decade-spanning narrative on exile and identity. Musk sits close behind at 41% on the strength of Alex Gibney’s proven track record and the timely Elon Musk profile, despite the subject’s public criticism ahead of its Venice premiere. Nuisance Bear, Tutu, and other listed contenders trail at 39.5% or lower amid limited screenings, underscoring how guild nods, fall festival buzz, and critical consensus will likely separate the pack before voting begins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
One in a Million 41%
Musk 41%
Nuisance Bear 39%
Tutu 38%
One in a Million
41%
Musk
41%
Nuisance Bear
39%
Tutu
38%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
31%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
14%
American Doctor
9%
One in a Million 41%
Musk 41%
Nuisance Bear 39%
Tutu 38%
One in a Million
41%
Musk
41%
Nuisance Bear
39%
Tutu
38%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
31%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
14%
American Doctor
9%
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Early festival momentum and high-profile subjects are shaping trader sentiment in this wide-open 2027 Best Documentary Feature race, where no film has locked in dominant precursor support. One in a Million leads at 42% implied probability after its Sundance 2026 wins for directing and audience awards, highlighting its decade-spanning narrative on exile and identity. Musk sits close behind at 41% on the strength of Alex Gibney’s proven track record and the timely Elon Musk profile, despite the subject’s public criticism ahead of its Venice premiere. Nuisance Bear, Tutu, and other listed contenders trail at 39.5% or lower amid limited screenings, underscoring how guild nods, fall festival buzz, and critical consensus will likely separate the pack before voting begins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย