The enduring economic incentives for major oil producers to coordinate output quotas and stabilize global energy prices through established multilateral frameworks underpin trader consensus against dissolution this year. No major member exits, institutional breakdowns, or alternative coordination mechanisms have emerged in recent months to shift that assessment. Historical precedent of OPEC adapting to shocks, including shifts in OPEC+ participation, reinforces expectations of continuity. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include sudden coordinated withdrawals by key Gulf states amid escalating internal disputes, a rapid global pivot to non-fossil fuels rendering the group obsolete, or binding international treaties that supersede its role before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOPEC dissolves in 2026?
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
3% โอกาส
$34,792 ปริมาณ
$34,792 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
3% โอกาส
$34,792 ปริมาณ
$34,792 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The enduring economic incentives for major oil producers to coordinate output quotas and stabilize global energy prices through established multilateral frameworks underpin trader consensus against dissolution this year. No major member exits, institutional breakdowns, or alternative coordination mechanisms have emerged in recent months to shift that assessment. Historical precedent of OPEC adapting to shocks, including shifts in OPEC+ participation, reinforces expectations of continuity. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include sudden coordinated withdrawals by key Gulf states amid escalating internal disputes, a rapid global pivot to non-fossil fuels rendering the group obsolete, or binding international treaties that supersede its role before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,792วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The enduring economic incentives for major oil producers to coordinate output quotas and stabilize global energy prices through established multilateral frameworks underpin trader consensus against dissolution this year. No major member exits, institutional breakdowns, or alternative coordination mechanisms have emerged in recent months to shift that assessment. Historical precedent of OPEC adapting to shocks, including shifts in OPEC+ participation, reinforces expectations of continuity. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include sudden coordinated withdrawals by key Gulf states amid escalating internal disputes, a rapid global pivot to non-fossil fuels rendering the group obsolete, or binding international treaties that supersede its role before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,792วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...The enduring economic incentives for major oil producers to coordinate output quotas and stabilize global energy prices through established multilateral frameworks underpin trader consensus against dissolution this year. No major member exits, institutional breakdowns, or alternative coordination mechanisms have emerged in recent months to shift that assessment. Historical precedent of OPEC adapting to shocks, including shifts in OPEC+ participation, reinforces expectations of continuity. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include sudden coordinated withdrawals by key Gulf states amid escalating internal disputes, a rapid global pivot to non-fossil fuels rendering the group obsolete, or binding international treaties that supersede its role before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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