Trader consensus in the May U.S. CPI month-over-month market centers on a 0.5 percent increase at a 64 percent implied probability, aligning closely with the Cleveland Fed’s latest nowcast of 0.46 percent following April’s 0.6 percent print—the highest monthly gain since mid-2022. Elevated energy costs tied to geopolitical supply disruptions continue to exert upward pressure, while shelter and core goods components show signs of moderation. Recent consumer inflation expectations have eased slightly to 3.5 percent for the one-year horizon, tempering broader upside risks. The upcoming Bureau of Labor Statistics release will resolve the contract, with any deviation in gasoline or food prices representing the primary swing factor for near-term repricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMay Inflation US - Monthly
0.5% 66%
0.6% 15%
0.4% 14.5%
0.7% 2.2%
$77,633 ปริมาณ
$77,633 ปริมาณ
≤0.1%
<1%
0.2%
<1%
0.3%
2%
0.4%
15%
0.5%
66%
0.6%
15%
0.7%
2%
0.8%
<1%
≥0.9%
1%
0.5% 66%
0.6% 15%
0.4% 14.5%
0.7% 2.2%
$77,633 ปริมาณ
$77,633 ปริมาณ
≤0.1%
<1%
0.2%
<1%
0.3%
2%
0.4%
15%
0.5%
66%
0.6%
15%
0.7%
2%
0.8%
<1%
≥0.9%
1%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the May U.S. CPI month-over-month market centers on a 0.5 percent increase at a 64 percent implied probability, aligning closely with the Cleveland Fed’s latest nowcast of 0.46 percent following April’s 0.6 percent print—the highest monthly gain since mid-2022. Elevated energy costs tied to geopolitical supply disruptions continue to exert upward pressure, while shelter and core goods components show signs of moderation. Recent consumer inflation expectations have eased slightly to 3.5 percent for the one-year horizon, tempering broader upside risks. The upcoming Bureau of Labor Statistics release will resolve the contract, with any deviation in gasoline or food prices representing the primary swing factor for near-term repricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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