**Idiots**, the Macon Blair-directed comedy starring Dave Franco and O'Shea Jackson Jr., premiered at Sundance in January 2026 (originally titled *The Shitheads*) to generally favorable early response before its August 28 theatrical release. Current Tomatometer standing hovers near 75% from roughly 30 reviews, with Metacritic at 67, reflecting solid but not ecstatic critic consensus on its chaotic road-trip premise, class satire, and lead chemistry. Recent reviews have introduced some downward pressure, including lower scores from Slant and RogerEbert.com, as wider critical access coincides with the limited rollout. Traders are watching how additional notices land in the final days before the August 31 score lock, with historical patterns for mid-tier comedies showing modest score drift once mainstream outlets weigh in. The market's implied probabilities favor outcomes in the mid-60s to low-70s range, driven primarily by post-premiere review volume and tone rather than marketing surges or audience metrics.