The closely matched trader consensus around the lower-to-mid ranges for August 2026 all-time high records stems from mixed national temperature outlooks, with above-normal heat favored across the Southern Plains and West but cooler-than-average conditions likely in the Great Lakes and Midwest. Recent July heat domes already shattered numerous records in states like Montana and Utah, setting a precedent for potential repeats, yet early August forecasts include variable heat dome strength, periodic cool fronts, and possible late-month cooldowns that could limit new station highs. Regional contrasts and the timing of any prolonged extremes create the competitive balance, with stronger or more widespread heat waves likely to push totals higher while broader relief would favor fewer breaks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow many all-time high temperature records will be broken at US weather stations in August 2026?
How many all-time high temperature records will be broken at US weather stations in August 2026?
21-60 47%
0-20 47%
61-100 47%
151+ 43%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
0-20
47%
21-60
47%
61-100
47%
101-150
39%
151+
43%
21-60 47%
0-20 47%
61-100 47%
151+ 43%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
0-20
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
21-60
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
61-100
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
101-150
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
151+
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
This market resolves to the number shown in the "BROKEN" column of NOAA's Daily Weather Records tool when filtered to all-time record highs for August 2026. Tied records do not count. The tool is located at https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datatools/records.
The Timescale will be All-Time Records", "Highest Max Temperature" for Parameter, and the month of August 2026 for the Date Range. The number in the "BROKEN" column is the resolution value. Only records broken in the United States will resolve this market.
Full documentation of the GHCN-Daily dataset is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/global-historical-climatology-network-daily.
The market resolves on September 15, 2026, based on the value shown in the tool at that time. This reading is final. Any corrections, revisions, or additional data that NOAA processes after September 15 will not affect the outcome. September 15 snapshot may not include all August records due to reporting lag but will govern the resolution regardless.The closely matched trader consensus around the lower-to-mid ranges for August 2026 all-time high records stems from mixed national temperature outlooks, with above-normal heat favored across the Southern Plains and West but cooler-than-average conditions likely in the Great Lakes and Midwest. Recent July heat domes already shattered numerous records in states like Montana and Utah, setting a precedent for potential repeats, yet early August forecasts include variable heat dome strength, periodic cool fronts, and possible late-month cooldowns that could limit new station highs. Regional contrasts and the timing of any prolonged extremes create the competitive balance, with stronger or more widespread heat waves likely to push totals higher while broader relief would favor fewer breaks.
This market resolves to the number shown in the "BROKEN" column of NOAA's Daily Weather Records tool when filtered to all-time record highs for August 2026. Tied records do not count. The tool is located at https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datatools/records.
The Timescale will be All-Time Records", "Highest Max Temperature" for Parameter, and the month of August 2026 for the Date Range. The number in the "BROKEN" column is the resolution value. Only records broken in the United States will resolve this market.
Full documentation of the GHCN-Daily dataset is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/global-historical-climatology-network-daily.
The market resolves on September 15, 2026, based on the value shown in the tool at that time. This reading is final. Any corrections, revisions, or additional data that NOAA processes after September 15 will not affect the outcome. September 15 snapshot may not include all August records due to reporting lag but will govern the resolution regardless.
The Timescale will be All-Time Records", "Highest Max Temperature" for Parameter, and the month of August 2026 for the Date Range. The number in the "BROKEN" column is the resolution value. Only records broken in the United States will resolve this market.
Full documentation of the GHCN-Daily dataset is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/global-historical-climatology-network-daily.
The market resolves on September 15, 2026, based on the value shown in the tool at that time. This reading is final. Any corrections, revisions, or additional data that NOAA processes after September 15 will not affect the outcome. September 15 snapshot may not include all August records due to reporting lag but will govern the resolution regardless.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 30, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market resolves to the number shown in the "BROKEN" column of NOAA's Daily Weather Records tool when filtered to all-time record highs for August 2026. Tied records do not count. The tool is located at https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datatools/records.
The Timescale will be All-Time Records", "Highest Max Temperature" for Parameter, and the month of August 2026 for the Date Range. The number in the "BROKEN" column is the resolution value. Only records broken in the United States will resolve this market.
Full documentation of the GHCN-Daily dataset is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/global-historical-climatology-network-daily.
The market resolves on September 15, 2026, based on the value shown in the tool at that time. This reading is final. Any corrections, revisions, or additional data that NOAA processes after September 15 will not affect the outcome. September 15 snapshot may not include all August records due to reporting lag but will govern the resolution regardless.The closely matched trader consensus around the lower-to-mid ranges for August 2026 all-time high records stems from mixed national temperature outlooks, with above-normal heat favored across the Southern Plains and West but cooler-than-average conditions likely in the Great Lakes and Midwest. Recent July heat domes already shattered numerous records in states like Montana and Utah, setting a precedent for potential repeats, yet early August forecasts include variable heat dome strength, periodic cool fronts, and possible late-month cooldowns that could limit new station highs. Regional contrasts and the timing of any prolonged extremes create the competitive balance, with stronger or more widespread heat waves likely to push totals higher while broader relief would favor fewer breaks.
This market resolves to the number shown in the "BROKEN" column of NOAA's Daily Weather Records tool when filtered to all-time record highs for August 2026. Tied records do not count. The tool is located at https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datatools/records.
The Timescale will be All-Time Records", "Highest Max Temperature" for Parameter, and the month of August 2026 for the Date Range. The number in the "BROKEN" column is the resolution value. Only records broken in the United States will resolve this market.
Full documentation of the GHCN-Daily dataset is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/global-historical-climatology-network-daily.
The market resolves on September 15, 2026, based on the value shown in the tool at that time. This reading is final. Any corrections, revisions, or additional data that NOAA processes after September 15 will not affect the outcome. September 15 snapshot may not include all August records due to reporting lag but will govern the resolution regardless.
The Timescale will be All-Time Records", "Highest Max Temperature" for Parameter, and the month of August 2026 for the Date Range. The number in the "BROKEN" column is the resolution value. Only records broken in the United States will resolve this market.
Full documentation of the GHCN-Daily dataset is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/global-historical-climatology-network-daily.
The market resolves on September 15, 2026, based on the value shown in the tool at that time. This reading is final. Any corrections, revisions, or additional data that NOAA processes after September 15 will not affect the outcome. September 15 snapshot may not include all August records due to reporting lag but will govern the resolution regardless.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched trader consensus around the lower-to-mid ranges for August 2026 all-time high records stems from mixed national temperature outlooks, with above-normal heat favored across the Southern Plains and West but cooler-than-average conditions likely in the Great Lakes and Midwest. Recent July heat domes already shattered numerous records in states like Montana and Utah, setting a precedent for potential repeats, yet early August forecasts include variable heat dome strength, periodic cool fronts, and possible late-month cooldowns that could limit new station highs. Regional contrasts and the timing of any prolonged extremes create the competitive balance, with stronger or more widespread heat waves likely to push totals higher while broader relief would favor fewer breaks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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