Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pretrial detention since his March 2025 arrest in the sprawling İBB corruption investigation, which involves over 400 defendants and centers on allegations of organized crime, bribery, and tender irregularities. As of mid-September 2026, the trial’s 81st hearing was underway with no verdict or release decision for the lead defendant. A separate September 2026 conviction for insulting a public official added a two-year-one-month prison term plus political restrictions, though appeals remain pending. Multiple parallel cases, prolonged pretrial detention patterns in the main proceeding, and the absence of any recent court orders for his release have reinforced trader expectations that İmamoğlu will not exit custody before the end of 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว6% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
6% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pretrial detention since his March 2025 arrest in the sprawling İBB corruption investigation, which involves over 400 defendants and centers on allegations of organized crime, bribery, and tender irregularities. As of mid-September 2026, the trial’s 81st hearing was underway with no verdict or release decision for the lead defendant. A separate September 2026 conviction for insulting a public official added a two-year-one-month prison term plus political restrictions, though appeals remain pending. Multiple parallel cases, prolonged pretrial detention patterns in the main proceeding, and the absence of any recent court orders for his release have reinforced trader expectations that İmamoğlu will not exit custody before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,407วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pretrial detention since his March 2025 arrest in the sprawling İBB corruption investigation, which involves over 400 defendants and centers on allegations of organized crime, bribery, and tender irregularities. As of mid-September 2026, the trial’s 81st hearing was underway with no verdict or release decision for the lead defendant. A separate September 2026 conviction for insulting a public official added a two-year-one-month prison term plus political restrictions, though appeals remain pending. Multiple parallel cases, prolonged pretrial detention patterns in the main proceeding, and the absence of any recent court orders for his release have reinforced trader expectations that İmamoğlu will not exit custody before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,407วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pretrial detention since his March 2025 arrest in the sprawling İBB corruption investigation, which involves over 400 defendants and centers on allegations of organized crime, bribery, and tender irregularities. As of mid-September 2026, the trial’s 81st hearing was underway with no verdict or release decision for the lead defendant. A separate September 2026 conviction for insulting a public official added a two-year-one-month prison term plus political restrictions, though appeals remain pending. Multiple parallel cases, prolonged pretrial detention patterns in the main proceeding, and the absence of any recent court orders for his release have reinforced trader expectations that İmamoğlu will not exit custody before the end of 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย