**David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary by a narrow margin of roughly 3,200 votes (under 1 percentage point) over Francesca Hong.** The Associated Press called the race early on August 12 after Hong conceded, eliminating any prospect of a recount under Wisconsin law. The state has no automatic recount; a candidate must formally request one under Wis. Stat. § 9.01, and the margin exceeded the 0.25-point threshold that would shift costs to the state. Hong’s concession removed the sole realistic trigger for such a request, leaving no pending petition or official action that would prompt the Wisconsin Elections Commission to order a recount before the August 31 deadline. Traders price “No” at 95% because the procedural window has effectively closed with the concession and final canvass underway, consistent with historical patterns where conceded close primaries do not proceed to recounts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
5% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
Да
5% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary by a narrow margin of roughly 3,200 votes (under 1 percentage point) over Francesca Hong.** The Associated Press called the race early on August 12 after Hong conceded, eliminating any prospect of a recount under Wisconsin law.
The state has no automatic recount; a candidate must formally request one under Wis. Stat. § 9.01, and the margin exceeded the 0.25-point threshold that would shift costs to the state. Hong’s concession removed the sole realistic trigger for such a request, leaving no pending petition or official action that would prompt the Wisconsin Elections Commission to order a recount before the August 31 deadline.
Traders price “No” at 95% because the procedural window has effectively closed with the concession and final canvass underway, consistent with historical patterns where conceded close primaries do not proceed to recounts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
Объем
$1,789Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary by a narrow margin of roughly 3,200 votes (under 1 percentage point) over Francesca Hong.** The Associated Press called the race early on August 12 after Hong conceded, eliminating any prospect of a recount under Wisconsin law.
The state has no automatic recount; a candidate must formally request one under Wis. Stat. § 9.01, and the margin exceeded the 0.25-point threshold that would shift costs to the state. Hong’s concession removed the sole realistic trigger for such a request, leaving no pending petition or official action that would prompt the Wisconsin Elections Commission to order a recount before the August 31 deadline.
Traders price “No” at 95% because the procedural window has effectively closed with the concession and final canvass underway, consistent with historical patterns where conceded close primaries do not proceed to recounts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,789Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary by a narrow margin of roughly 3,200 votes (under 1 percentage point) over Francesca Hong.** The Associated Press called the race early on August 12 after Hong conceded, eliminating any prospect of a recount under Wisconsin law. The state has no automatic recount; a candidate must formally request one under Wis. Stat. § 9.01, and the margin exceeded the 0.25-point threshold that would shift costs to the state. Hong’s concession removed the sole realistic trigger for such a request, leaving no pending petition or official action that would prompt the Wisconsin Elections Commission to order a recount before the August 31 deadline. Traders price “No” at 95% because the procedural window has effectively closed with the concession and final canvass underway, consistent with historical patterns where conceded close primaries do not proceed to recounts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы