Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, has directly addressed retirement speculation by confirming in an early August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he plans to serve another term. This followed a late June NPR report that erroneously claimed his departure, which the outlet retracted after no official announcement from Alito or the Court. Alito has hired law clerks for the 2026-2027 term, aligning with reports from sources close to the justice that he intends to remain on the bench into at least 2027. Trader sentiment on near-term retirement markets reflects these statements and the justice’s pattern of not signaling any exit, despite broader discussion around potential vacancies during a period of Republican control of the White House and Senate. The next Supreme Court term begins in October, with any announcement historically more likely near the end of a term in June or July.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоОбъявит ли Самуэль Алито о своем уходе на пенсию к...?
Объявит ли Самуэль Алито о своем уходе на пенсию к...?
$3,458,444 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
30 сентября
2%
31 декабря
6%
30 июня 2027 года
35%
$3,458,444 Объем
30 сентября
$994,347 Объем
2%
31 декабря
$815,166 Объем
6%
30 июня 2027 года
$47,267 Объем
35%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, has directly addressed retirement speculation by confirming in an early August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he plans to serve another term. This followed a late June NPR report that erroneously claimed his departure, which the outlet retracted after no official announcement from Alito or the Court. Alito has hired law clerks for the 2026-2027 term, aligning with reports from sources close to the justice that he intends to remain on the bench into at least 2027. Trader sentiment on near-term retirement markets reflects these statements and the justice’s pattern of not signaling any exit, despite broader discussion around potential vacancies during a period of Republican control of the White House and Senate. The next Supreme Court term begins in October, with any announcement historically more likely near the end of a term in June or July.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Открытие рынка: Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Объем
$3,458,444Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, has directly addressed retirement speculation by confirming in an early August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he plans to serve another term. This followed a late June NPR report that erroneously claimed his departure, which the outlet retracted after no official announcement from Alito or the Court. Alito has hired law clerks for the 2026-2027 term, aligning with reports from sources close to the justice that he intends to remain on the bench into at least 2027. Trader sentiment on near-term retirement markets reflects these statements and the justice’s pattern of not signaling any exit, despite broader discussion around potential vacancies during a period of Republican control of the White House and Senate. The next Supreme Court term begins in October, with any announcement historically more likely near the end of a term in June or July.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Объем
$3,458,444Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, has directly addressed retirement speculation by confirming in an early August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he plans to serve another term. This followed a late June NPR report that erroneously claimed his departure, which the outlet retracted after no official announcement from Alito or the Court. Alito has hired law clerks for the 2026-2027 term, aligning with reports from sources close to the justice that he intends to remain on the bench into at least 2027. Trader sentiment on near-term retirement markets reflects these statements and the justice’s pattern of not signaling any exit, despite broader discussion around potential vacancies during a period of Republican control of the White House and Senate. The next Supreme Court term begins in October, with any announcement historically more likely near the end of a term in June or July.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы