Anthropic's earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1 and accelerated preparations for a fall 2026 Nasdaq debut, including a planned late-September prospectus and mid-October marketing push ahead of November midterms, drive the 96.7% market-implied odds favoring it over OpenAI. The Claude developer closed a $65 billion round at a $965 billion valuation in May and has advanced credit facilities and underwriter meetings with Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley. In contrast, OpenAI filed a week later but shifted toward a 2027 timeline to pursue a $1 trillion valuation target, citing internal readiness concerns, infrastructure spending, and volatility in recent large tech listings like SpaceX. While trader consensus reflects these timelines, shifts in market conditions, SEC review delays, or strategic changes at either AI lab could still alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAnthropic
97% вероятность
$337,231 Объем
$337,231 Объем
30 дек. 2027 г.
Anthropic
97% вероятность
$337,231 Объем
$337,231 Объем
30 дек. 2027 г.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1 and accelerated preparations for a fall 2026 Nasdaq debut, including a planned late-September prospectus and mid-October marketing push ahead of November midterms, drive the 96.7% market-implied odds favoring it over OpenAI. The Claude developer closed a $65 billion round at a $965 billion valuation in May and has advanced credit facilities and underwriter meetings with Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley. In contrast, OpenAI filed a week later but shifted toward a 2027 timeline to pursue a $1 trillion valuation target, citing internal readiness concerns, infrastructure spending, and volatility in recent large tech listings like SpaceX. While trader consensus reflects these timelines, shifts in market conditions, SEC review delays, or strategic changes at either AI lab could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Объем
$337,231Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1 and accelerated preparations for a fall 2026 Nasdaq debut, including a planned late-September prospectus and mid-October marketing push ahead of November midterms, drive the 96.7% market-implied odds favoring it over OpenAI. The Claude developer closed a $65 billion round at a $965 billion valuation in May and has advanced credit facilities and underwriter meetings with Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley. In contrast, OpenAI filed a week later but shifted toward a 2027 timeline to pursue a $1 trillion valuation target, citing internal readiness concerns, infrastructure spending, and volatility in recent large tech listings like SpaceX. While trader consensus reflects these timelines, shifts in market conditions, SEC review delays, or strategic changes at either AI lab could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$337,231Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1 and accelerated preparations for a fall 2026 Nasdaq debut, including a planned late-September prospectus and mid-October marketing push ahead of November midterms, drive the 96.7% market-implied odds favoring it over OpenAI. The Claude developer closed a $65 billion round at a $965 billion valuation in May and has advanced credit facilities and underwriter meetings with Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley. In contrast, OpenAI filed a week later but shifted toward a 2027 timeline to pursue a $1 trillion valuation target, citing internal readiness concerns, infrastructure spending, and volatility in recent large tech listings like SpaceX. While trader consensus reflects these timelines, shifts in market conditions, SEC review delays, or strategic changes at either AI lab could still alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Состоится ли первичное публичное размещение акций Anthropic в октябре 2026 года (ET)?
63%
Да
Anthropic или OpenAI: какая компания завершит IPO с большей рыночной капитализацией?
70%
Anthropic
Будет ли рыночная капитализация Anthropic составлять 600 млрд долларов США или больше к моменту закрытия рынка в день IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года?
97%
Да
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