Petr Yan’s December 2025 unanimous-decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 to reclaim the bantamweight title has positioned a trilogy bout as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus, reflected in Merab’s dominant 83% implied probability. Yan’s subsequent minor back surgery delayed his return until summer 2026, with recent reports confirming he is already back training and pushing for the next fight. Merab has repeatedly expressed readiness for the rubber match, citing their 1-1 rivalry and mutual desire to settle it before other contenders advance. Sean O’Malley sits at a distant 8.6% as the logical alternate if the trilogy stalls, given his prior title history with Yan and willingness to wait. Lower-probability names such as Alexander Volkanovski or Song Yadong remain speculative long shots pending resolution of the immediate rematch dynamics and Yan’s full recovery timeline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМераб Двалишвили 83%
Шон О’Мэлли 9.5%
Александр Волкановски 1.0%
Сун Ядун <1%
$1,139,956 Объем
$1,139,956 Объем
Мераб Двалишвили
83%
Шон О’Мэлли
10%
Александр Волкановски
1%
Сун Ядун
1%
Умар Нурмагомедов
<1%
Доминик Круз
<1%
Кори Сандаген
<1%
Роб Фонт
<1%
Педро Муньос
<1%
Александре Пантожа
<1%
Дейвисон Фигейреду
<1%
Рики Симон
<1%
Пэйтон Тэлботт
<1%
Генри Сехудо
<1%
Мераб Двалишвили 83%
Шон О’Мэлли 9.5%
Александр Волкановски 1.0%
Сун Ядун <1%
$1,139,956 Объем
$1,139,956 Объем
Мераб Двалишвили
83%
Шон О’Мэлли
10%
Александр Волкановски
1%
Сун Ядун
1%
Умар Нурмагомедов
<1%
Доминик Круз
<1%
Кори Сандаген
<1%
Роб Фонт
<1%
Педро Муньос
<1%
Александре Пантожа
<1%
Дейвисон Фигейреду
<1%
Рики Симон
<1%
Пэйтон Тэлботт
<1%
Генри Сехудо
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan’s December 2025 unanimous-decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 to reclaim the bantamweight title has positioned a trilogy bout as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus, reflected in Merab’s dominant 83% implied probability. Yan’s subsequent minor back surgery delayed his return until summer 2026, with recent reports confirming he is already back training and pushing for the next fight. Merab has repeatedly expressed readiness for the rubber match, citing their 1-1 rivalry and mutual desire to settle it before other contenders advance. Sean O’Malley sits at a distant 8.6% as the logical alternate if the trilogy stalls, given his prior title history with Yan and willingness to wait. Lower-probability names such as Alexander Volkanovski or Song Yadong remain speculative long shots pending resolution of the immediate rematch dynamics and Yan’s full recovery timeline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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