Rebeca Grynspan leads the trader consensus as the implied frontrunner for the next UN Secretary-General, driven primarily by her strong performance in the Security Council’s first straw poll on July 30, 2026, where she secured the most “encourage” votes among nominees. Regional rotation norms after António Guterres favor a candidate from the Latin American and Caribbean group, combined with widespread support for electing the organization’s first woman to the role. Recent interactive dialogues and a July town hall have highlighted her UNCTAD leadership and development expertise as advantages in a closely watched process expected to conclude later in 2026. Rafael Grossi and Achim Steiner follow as competitive alternatives, reflecting their respective nuclear diplomacy and UNDP experience, while the field remains fluid pending further straw polls and P5 consultations that could shift positioning before a formal recommendation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКто будет следующим Генеральным секретарем ООН?
Кто будет следующим Генеральным секретарем ООН?
Рафаэль Гросси 59%
Ребека Гринспан 53.9%
Джасинда Ардерн 3.5%
Мишель Бачелет 3.4%
$80,086 Объем
$80,086 Объем
Рафаэль Гросси
59%
Ребека Гринспан
45%
Джасинда Ардерн
3%
Мишель Бачелет
3%
Мария Фернанда Эспиноса Гарсес
2%
Кристалина Георгиева
1%
Бруно Донат
1%
Амина Мохаммед
1%
Миа Моттли
<1%
Алисия Барсена
<1%
Дэвид Чокеуанка
<1%
Вук Еремич
<1%
Коломб Каэн-Сальвадор
26%
Ахим Штайнер
-
Рафаэль Гросси 59%
Ребека Гринспан 53.9%
Джасинда Ардерн 3.5%
Мишель Бачелет 3.4%
$80,086 Объем
$80,086 Объем
Рафаэль Гросси
59%
Ребека Гринспан
45%
Джасинда Ардерн
3%
Мишель Бачелет
3%
Мария Фернанда Эспиноса Гарсес
2%
Кристалина Георгиева
1%
Бруно Донат
1%
Амина Мохаммед
1%
Миа Моттли
<1%
Алисия Барсена
<1%
Дэвид Чокеуанка
<1%
Вук Еремич
<1%
Коломб Каэн-Сальвадор
26%
Ахим Штайнер
-
This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rebeca Grynspan leads the trader consensus as the implied frontrunner for the next UN Secretary-General, driven primarily by her strong performance in the Security Council’s first straw poll on July 30, 2026, where she secured the most “encourage” votes among nominees. Regional rotation norms after António Guterres favor a candidate from the Latin American and Caribbean group, combined with widespread support for electing the organization’s first woman to the role. Recent interactive dialogues and a July town hall have highlighted her UNCTAD leadership and development expertise as advantages in a closely watched process expected to conclude later in 2026. Rafael Grossi and Achim Steiner follow as competitive alternatives, reflecting their respective nuclear diplomacy and UNDP experience, while the field remains fluid pending further straw polls and P5 consultations that could shift positioning before a formal recommendation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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