European national teams dominate trader consensus at 72.5% implied probability due to unparalleled squad depth across UEFA, with Spain, France, England, and Portugal occupying the top betting positions ahead of the expanded 48-team tournament. Spain enters as co-favorites after winning Euro 2024 and maintaining elite form, while France has reached the last two World Cup finals and Argentina (19.5% for CONMEBOL) aims to defend its 2022 title as the sole realistic South American challenger alongside Brazil. North American hosts sit at just 3.5% despite home advantage, reflecting their lower FIFA rankings and limited recent major-tournament success compared with the established European and South American powers. Lower probabilities for Africa, Asia, and Oceania align with historical performance gaps and fewer teams ranked among the global elite.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакой континент выиграет чемпионат мира?
Европа 73%
Южная Америка 20%
Северная Америка 3.5%
Африка 3.5%
$4,050,700 Объем
$4,050,700 Объем
Европа
73%
Южная Америка
20%
Северная Америка
3%
Африка
3%
Азия
3%
Океания
<1%
Европа 73%
Южная Америка 20%
Северная Америка 3.5%
Африка 3.5%
$4,050,700 Объем
$4,050,700 Объем
Европа
73%
Южная Америка
20%
Северная Америка
3%
Африка
3%
Азия
3%
Океания
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...European national teams dominate trader consensus at 72.5% implied probability due to unparalleled squad depth across UEFA, with Spain, France, England, and Portugal occupying the top betting positions ahead of the expanded 48-team tournament. Spain enters as co-favorites after winning Euro 2024 and maintaining elite form, while France has reached the last two World Cup finals and Argentina (19.5% for CONMEBOL) aims to defend its 2022 title as the sole realistic South American challenger alongside Brazil. North American hosts sit at just 3.5% despite home advantage, reflecting their lower FIFA rankings and limited recent major-tournament success compared with the established European and South American powers. Lower probabilities for Africa, Asia, and Oceania align with historical performance gaps and fewer teams ranked among the global elite.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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