Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in London on July 23, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around those levels. Persistent above-average warmth this summer, driven by high-pressure patterns and southerly flow, has kept nighttime temperatures elevated, though subtle shifts in cloud cover or wind could trim a degree or allow slight radiative cooling. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread for this short-range outlook, with resolution hinging on the official overnight low recorded at central London stations. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against typical July minima near 15°C when assigning the near-even odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 23 июля?
Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 23 июля?
17°C 66%
18°C 32%
16°C 10%
15°C 4.3%
НОВОЕ
$16,989 Объем
НОВОЕ
$16,989 Объем
23 июл. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
10%
17°C
60%
18°C
32%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C или выше
<1%
17°C 66%
18°C 32%
16°C 10%
15°C 4.3%
НОВОЕ
$16,989 Объем
НОВОЕ
$16,989 Объем
23 июл. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
$227 Объем
<1%
12°C
$474 Объем
<1%
13°C
$393 Объем
<1%
14°C
$520 Объем
1%
15°C
$835 Объем
4%
16°C
$3,989 Объем
10%
17°C
$2,420 Объем
60%
18°C
$4,144 Объем
32%
19°C
$2,251 Объем
<1%
20°C
$1,521 Объем
<1%
21°C или выше
$353 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in London on July 23, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around those levels. Persistent above-average warmth this summer, driven by high-pressure patterns and southerly flow, has kept nighttime temperatures elevated, though subtle shifts in cloud cover or wind could trim a degree or allow slight radiative cooling. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread for this short-range outlook, with resolution hinging on the official overnight low recorded at central London stations. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against typical July minima near 15°C when assigning the near-even odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$16,989Дата окончания
23 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in London on July 23, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around those levels. Persistent above-average warmth this summer, driven by high-pressure patterns and southerly flow, has kept nighttime temperatures elevated, though subtle shifts in cloud cover or wind could trim a degree or allow slight radiative cooling. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread for this short-range outlook, with resolution hinging on the official overnight low recorded at central London stations. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against typical July minima near 15°C when assigning the near-even odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$16,989Дата окончания
23 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in London on July 23, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around those levels. Persistent above-average warmth this summer, driven by high-pressure patterns and southerly flow, has kept nighttime temperatures elevated, though subtle shifts in cloud cover or wind could trim a degree or allow slight radiative cooling. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread for this short-range outlook, with resolution hinging on the official overnight low recorded at central London stations. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against typical July minima near 15°C when assigning the near-even odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы