**Forecast models from sources including Worldmeteo, Yr.no, and others indicate a high of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 7, 2026, under high pressure (around 1025 hPa) with light winds, partly to mostly cloudy skies, and no precipitation.** This setup favors a modest daytime rise above overnight lows near 10–12°C, consistent with early September climatology where Warsaw’s average September maximum sits near 16–19°C. Recent model runs show stable conditions with southwest flow bringing mild air but limited insolation from cloud cover, keeping the peak from exceeding 22°C or dropping below 20°C. Trader consensus, with 21°C at 50.5% and 20°C at 36.5% implied probability, reflects this narrow forecast range and low uncertainty ahead of resolution. Minor model variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the exact maximum by 1°C, but current guidance supports the market’s tight clustering around the 20–21°C outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Варшаве 7 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 7 сентября?
21°C 51%
20°C 37%
22°C 11%
19°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
37%
21°C
51%
22°C
11%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C или выше
<1%
21°C 51%
20°C 37%
22°C 11%
19°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$386 Объем
<1%
16°C
$75 Объем
<1%
17°C
$152 Объем
1%
18°C
$243 Объем
1%
19°C
$784 Объем
5%
20°C
$1,413 Объем
37%
21°C
$1,840 Объем
51%
22°C
$324 Объем
11%
23°C
$396 Объем
2%
24°C
$266 Объем
<1%
25°C или выше
$239 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including Worldmeteo, Yr.no, and others indicate a high of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 7, 2026, under high pressure (around 1025 hPa) with light winds, partly to mostly cloudy skies, and no precipitation.**
This setup favors a modest daytime rise above overnight lows near 10–12°C, consistent with early September climatology where Warsaw’s average September maximum sits near 16–19°C. Recent model runs show stable conditions with southwest flow bringing mild air but limited insolation from cloud cover, keeping the peak from exceeding 22°C or dropping below 20°C.
Trader consensus, with 21°C at 50.5% and 20°C at 36.5% implied probability, reflects this narrow forecast range and low uncertainty ahead of resolution. Minor model variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the exact maximum by 1°C, but current guidance supports the market’s tight clustering around the 20–21°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$6,118Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including Worldmeteo, Yr.no, and others indicate a high of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 7, 2026, under high pressure (around 1025 hPa) with light winds, partly to mostly cloudy skies, and no precipitation.**
This setup favors a modest daytime rise above overnight lows near 10–12°C, consistent with early September climatology where Warsaw’s average September maximum sits near 16–19°C. Recent model runs show stable conditions with southwest flow bringing mild air but limited insolation from cloud cover, keeping the peak from exceeding 22°C or dropping below 20°C.
Trader consensus, with 21°C at 50.5% and 20°C at 36.5% implied probability, reflects this narrow forecast range and low uncertainty ahead of resolution. Minor model variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the exact maximum by 1°C, but current guidance supports the market’s tight clustering around the 20–21°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,118Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including Worldmeteo, Yr.no, and others indicate a high of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 7, 2026, under high pressure (around 1025 hPa) with light winds, partly to mostly cloudy skies, and no precipitation.** This setup favors a modest daytime rise above overnight lows near 10–12°C, consistent with early September climatology where Warsaw’s average September maximum sits near 16–19°C. Recent model runs show stable conditions with southwest flow bringing mild air but limited insolation from cloud cover, keeping the peak from exceeding 22°C or dropping below 20°C. Trader consensus, with 21°C at 50.5% and 20°C at 36.5% implied probability, reflects this narrow forecast range and low uncertainty ahead of resolution. Minor model variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the exact maximum by 1°C, but current guidance supports the market’s tight clustering around the 20–21°C outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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