Rhea Seehorn’s dominant 77% market-implied probability for the 2026 Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series reflects her frontrunner status in Vince Gilligan’s Apple TV+ sci-fi drama “Pluribus,” where she plays isolated novelist Carol Sturka. She captured the Golden Globe and Critics’ Choice Television Award earlier in the cycle, backed by the series’ 18 nominations and strong critical consensus. Keri Russell’s 16% share stems from consistent “The Diplomat” recognition and a SAG win, though her campaign trails in overall momentum. Zendaya’s 6% position draws on “Euphoria” cultural cachet and prior wins but faces headwinds from mixed season-three reception. With final voting concluded ahead of the September 14 ceremony, trader sentiment centers on Seehorn’s overdue narrative and precursor sweep while noting Academy unpredictability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЭмми 2026: Выдающаяся ведущая актриса в драматическом сериале
Эмми 2026: Выдающаяся ведущая актриса в драматическом сериале
Ри Сихорн – «Pluribus» 77%
Кери Расселл — «Дипломат» 16.2%
Зендая – «Эйфория» 4.9%
Чейз Инфинити — «Заветы» 2.8%
$25,519 Объем
$25,519 Объем
14 сент. 2026 г.
Ри Сихорн – «Pluribus»
77%
Кери Расселл — «Дипломат»
16%
Зендая – «Эйфория»
5%
Чейз Инфинити — «Заветы»
3%
Кэрри Кун — «Золотой век»
3%
Ри Сихорн – «Pluribus» 77%
Кери Расселл — «Дипломат» 16.2%
Зендая – «Эйфория» 4.9%
Чейз Инфинити — «Заветы» 2.8%
$25,519 Объем
$25,519 Объем
14 сент. 2026 г.
Ри Сихорн – «Pluribus»
$10,686 Объем
77%
Кери Расселл — «Дипломат»
$6,516 Объем
16%
Зендая – «Эйфория»
$3,583 Объем
5%
Чейз Инфинити — «Заветы»
$2,386 Объем
3%
Кэрри Кун — «Золотой век»
$2,348 Объем
3%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rhea Seehorn’s dominant 77% market-implied probability for the 2026 Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series reflects her frontrunner status in Vince Gilligan’s Apple TV+ sci-fi drama “Pluribus,” where she plays isolated novelist Carol Sturka. She captured the Golden Globe and Critics’ Choice Television Award earlier in the cycle, backed by the series’ 18 nominations and strong critical consensus. Keri Russell’s 16% share stems from consistent “The Diplomat” recognition and a SAG win, though her campaign trails in overall momentum. Zendaya’s 6% position draws on “Euphoria” cultural cachet and prior wins but faces headwinds from mixed season-three reception. With final voting concluded ahead of the September 14 ceremony, trader sentiment centers on Seehorn’s overdue narrative and precursor sweep while noting Academy unpredictability.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 9, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
Объем
$25,519Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 9:07 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rhea Seehorn’s dominant 77% market-implied probability for the 2026 Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series reflects her frontrunner status in Vince Gilligan’s Apple TV+ sci-fi drama “Pluribus,” where she plays isolated novelist Carol Sturka. She captured the Golden Globe and Critics’ Choice Television Award earlier in the cycle, backed by the series’ 18 nominations and strong critical consensus. Keri Russell’s 16% share stems from consistent “The Diplomat” recognition and a SAG win, though her campaign trails in overall momentum. Zendaya’s 6% position draws on “Euphoria” cultural cachet and prior wins but faces headwinds from mixed season-three reception. With final voting concluded ahead of the September 14 ceremony, trader sentiment centers on Seehorn’s overdue narrative and precursor sweep while noting Academy unpredictability.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$25,519Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 9:07 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Rhea Seehorn’s dominant 77% market-implied probability for the 2026 Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series reflects her frontrunner status in Vince Gilligan’s Apple TV+ sci-fi drama “Pluribus,” where she plays isolated novelist Carol Sturka. She captured the Golden Globe and Critics’ Choice Television Award earlier in the cycle, backed by the series’ 18 nominations and strong critical consensus. Keri Russell’s 16% share stems from consistent “The Diplomat” recognition and a SAG win, though her campaign trails in overall momentum. Zendaya’s 6% position draws on “Euphoria” cultural cachet and prior wins but faces headwinds from mixed season-three reception. With final voting concluded ahead of the September 14 ceremony, trader sentiment centers on Seehorn’s overdue narrative and precursor sweep while noting Academy unpredictability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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