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icon for Победитель выборов мэра Берни
Политика·Мэр

Победитель выборов мэра Берни

icon for Победитель выборов мэра Берни
Политика·Мэр

Победитель выборов мэра Берни

Джованна Симпсон 40%

Тини Брамби 34%

Крис Линч 14%

Кен Дорси 9%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Джованна Симпсон 40%

Тини Брамби 34%

Крис Линч 14%

Кен Дорси 9%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Джованна Симпсон

Джованна Симпсон

$467 Объем

40%

icon for Тини Брамби

Тини Брамби

$2,383 Объем

34%

icon for Крис Линч

Крис Линч

$156 Объем

14%

icon for Кен Дорси

Кен Дорси

$536 Объем

9%

icon for Джеффри Саммерс

Джеффри Саммерс

$407 Объем

5%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Burnie as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The tight contest for Burnie mayor reflects the competitive positioning between incumbent Teeny Brumby and deputy mayor Giovanna Simpson ahead of Tasmania's October 27 local elections, with trader consensus assigning Simpson the narrowest edge at 39.5% implied probability and Brumby at 33.5%. Simpson's February 2026 decision to contest the mayoralty rather than pursue state parliament has sharpened the race, drawing on her profile as a long-serving councillor focused on youth, business, and community issues. Brumby's re-election bid highlights her record on waterfront renewal, modest rate management, and major infrastructure investments, though a failed 2025 no-confidence motion underscored internal council divisions. Trailing candidates including Chris Lynch, Ken Dorsey, and Geoffrey Summers remain at single-digit levels, while open nominations until late September sustain uncertainty around additional entrants. Local concerns over housing pressures from industrial growth and asset renewal continue to shape voter assessments in this multi-candidate field.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Burnie as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Burnie as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Объем
$3,950
Дата окончания
28 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 4:05 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Burnie as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The tight contest for Burnie mayor reflects the competitive positioning between incumbent Teeny Brumby and deputy mayor Giovanna Simpson ahead of Tasmania's October 27 local elections, with trader consensus assigning Simpson the narrowest edge at 39.5% implied probability and Brumby at 33.5%. Simpson's February 2026 decision to contest the mayoralty rather than pursue state parliament has sharpened the race, drawing on her profile as a long-serving councillor focused on youth, business, and community issues. Brumby's re-election bid highlights her record on waterfront renewal, modest rate management, and major infrastructure investments, though a failed 2025 no-confidence motion underscored internal council divisions. Trailing candidates including Chris Lynch, Ken Dorsey, and Geoffrey Summers remain at single-digit levels, while open nominations until late September sustain uncertainty around additional entrants. Local concerns over housing pressures from industrial growth and asset renewal continue to shape voter assessments in this multi-candidate field.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Burnie as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Burnie as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Объем
$3,950
Дата окончания
28 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 4:05 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Победит ли Мэттью Гарвуд на следующих выборах мэра Лончестона?

Победит ли Мэттью Гарвуд на следующих выборах мэра Лончестона?

43%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Джанет Гейтхаус следующие выборы мэра Сорелла?

Выиграет ли Джанет Гейтхаус следующие выборы мэра Сорелла?

57%
Да
icon for Победит ли Элисон Джарман на следующих выборах мэра Девонпорта?

Победит ли Элисон Джарман на следующих выборах мэра Девонпорта?

70%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов мэра Берни» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Джованна Симпсон» с 40%, за ним следует «Тини Брамби» с 34%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 40¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 40%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов мэра Берни» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Sep 3, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов мэра Берни», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов мэра Берни» — «Джованна Симпсон» с 40%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 40%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Тини Брамби» с 34%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов мэра Берни» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.