Recent July CPI data showed a soft 0.1% monthly headline gain and 0.2% core advance, setting up expectations for a modest rebound in August driven by rising gasoline prices after prior declines, firmer food costs, and continued shelter and services pressures. Cleveland Fed nowcasts as of early September project 0.36% headline and 0.20% core month-over-month, aligning with economist forecasts near 0.35-0.39%. These factors underpin the market's 46.5% implied probability on 0.4% and 24.5% on 0.3%, with the September 11 BLS release serving as the key near-term catalyst before the FOMC meeting. Trader positioning reflects real capital consensus on these inflation components amid elevated energy volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено0,4% 47%
0,3% 25%
≥0,5% 16%
0,2% 6%
$29,732 Объем
$29,732 Объем
10 сент. 2026 г.
≤-0,3%
<1%
-0,2%
<1%
-0,1%
<1%
0,0%
1%
0,1%
1%
0,2%
6%
0,3%
25%
0,4%
47%
≥0,5%
16%
0,4% 47%
0,3% 25%
≥0,5% 16%
0,2% 6%
$29,732 Объем
$29,732 Объем
10 сент. 2026 г.
≤-0,3%
$1,034 Объем
<1%
-0,2%
$618 Объем
<1%
-0,1%
$799 Объем
<1%
0,0%
$1,170 Объем
1%
0,1%
$999 Объем
1%
0,2%
$1,539 Объем
6%
0,3%
$3,449 Объем
25%
0,4%
$8,787 Объем
47%
≥0,5%
$11,338 Объем
16%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data showed a soft 0.1% monthly headline gain and 0.2% core advance, setting up expectations for a modest rebound in August driven by rising gasoline prices after prior declines, firmer food costs, and continued shelter and services pressures. Cleveland Fed nowcasts as of early September project 0.36% headline and 0.20% core month-over-month, aligning with economist forecasts near 0.35-0.39%. These factors underpin the market's 46.5% implied probability on 0.4% and 24.5% on 0.3%, with the September 11 BLS release serving as the key near-term catalyst before the FOMC meeting. Trader positioning reflects real capital consensus on these inflation components amid elevated energy volatility.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Объем
$29,732Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data showed a soft 0.1% monthly headline gain and 0.2% core advance, setting up expectations for a modest rebound in August driven by rising gasoline prices after prior declines, firmer food costs, and continued shelter and services pressures. Cleveland Fed nowcasts as of early September project 0.36% headline and 0.20% core month-over-month, aligning with economist forecasts near 0.35-0.39%. These factors underpin the market's 46.5% implied probability on 0.4% and 24.5% on 0.3%, with the September 11 BLS release serving as the key near-term catalyst before the FOMC meeting. Trader positioning reflects real capital consensus on these inflation components amid elevated energy volatility.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Объем
$29,732Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent July CPI data showed a soft 0.1% monthly headline gain and 0.2% core advance, setting up expectations for a modest rebound in August driven by rising gasoline prices after prior declines, firmer food costs, and continued shelter and services pressures. Cleveland Fed nowcasts as of early September project 0.36% headline and 0.20% core month-over-month, aligning with economist forecasts near 0.35-0.39%. These factors underpin the market's 46.5% implied probability on 0.4% and 24.5% on 0.3%, with the September 11 BLS release serving as the key near-term catalyst before the FOMC meeting. Trader positioning reflects real capital consensus on these inflation components amid elevated energy volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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