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icon for AI data center in space by...?

AI data center in space by...?

icon for AI data center in space by...?

AI data center in space by...?

$15,838 Объем

31 дек. 2027 г.
Polymarket

$15,838 Объем

Polymarket

December 31, 2026

$5,492 Объем

7%

December 31, 2027

$10,346 Объем

20%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent hardware demonstrations and regulatory filings have shaped trader views on timelines for orbital AI compute. Starcloud's November 2025 launch of a satellite carrying an NVIDIA H100 GPU marked the first training of a large language model in space, validating radiation-hardened inference and fine-tuning, though it remains a single-node prototype. Google’s Project Suncatcher, detailed in late 2025, targets two-satellite TPU tests with optical inter-satellite links by early 2027 alongside Planet Labs. SpaceX’s post-merger FCC filing for up to one million data-center satellites, plus announced 2027 demonstrator goals, adds momentum, yet analysts note current orbital costs remain several times higher than terrestrial equivalents. Key near-term catalysts include Starcloud-2’s planned multi-GPU launch later in 2026 and additional FCC comment periods that could accelerate or constrain constellation scale.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips).

“Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$15,838
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent hardware demonstrations and regulatory filings have shaped trader views on timelines for orbital AI compute. Starcloud's November 2025 launch of a satellite carrying an NVIDIA H100 GPU marked the first training of a large language model in space, validating radiation-hardened inference and fine-tuning, though it remains a single-node prototype. Google’s Project Suncatcher, detailed in late 2025, targets two-satellite TPU tests with optical inter-satellite links by early 2027 alongside Planet Labs. SpaceX’s post-merger FCC filing for up to one million data-center satellites, plus announced 2027 demonstrator goals, adds momentum, yet analysts note current orbital costs remain several times higher than terrestrial equivalents. Key near-term catalysts include Starcloud-2’s planned multi-GPU launch later in 2026 and additional FCC comment periods that could accelerate or constrain constellation scale.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips).

“Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$15,838
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips). “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«AI data center in space by...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «December 31, 2027» с 20%, за ним следует «December 31, 2026» с 7%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 20¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 20%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «AI data center in space by...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $15.8K с момента запуска рынка May 14, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «AI data center in space by...?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «AI data center in space by...?» — «December 31, 2027» с 20%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 20%. Следующий ближайший исход — «December 31, 2026» с 7%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «AI data center in space by...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.