India, Uzbekistan, and the United States lead trader pricing for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad open section in Samarkand, reflecting closely matched roster strength and recent announcements. India enters as defending champions with a largely intact core from its 2024 Budapest gold, though cooling ratings and the weight of expectations keep its implied probability near 30 percent. Uzbekistan benefits from home-soil hosting and confirmed participation by multiple top-five players, while the U.S. squad of Caruana, So, Niemann, Aronian, and Liang offers reliable depth and recent match-play experience against Uzbekistan in Miami. China rounds out the top tier at around 10 percent on squad potential, but depth and consistency among the leading four nations sustain a tight contest with no side exceeding a modest edge in the wisdom-of-crowds assessment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоIndia 37%
United States of America 25%
Uzbekistan 21%
China 11%
India
31%
United States of America
25%
Uzbekistan
28%
China
11%
Ukraine
9%
Armenia
9%
Azerbaijan
9%
England
9%
Spain
9%
France
9%
Georgia
9%
Hungary
9%
Iran
9%
Netherlands
9%
Norway
9%
Poland
9%
Serbia
9%
Turkiye
9%
Vietnam
9%
Argentina
8%
Austria
8%
Brazil
8%
Bulgaria
8%
Canada
8%
Chile
8%
Colombia
8%
Croatia
8%
Czech Republic
8%
Egypt
8%
Greece
8%
Kazakhstan
8%
Latvia
8%
Lithuania
8%
Moldova
8%
Mexico
8%
Romania
8%
Slovenia
8%
Germany
6%
Turkmenistan
3%
Sweden
2%
India 37%
United States of America 25%
Uzbekistan 21%
China 11%
India
31%
United States of America
25%
Uzbekistan
28%
China
11%
Ukraine
9%
Armenia
9%
Azerbaijan
9%
England
9%
Spain
9%
France
9%
Georgia
9%
Hungary
9%
Iran
9%
Netherlands
9%
Norway
9%
Poland
9%
Serbia
9%
Turkiye
9%
Vietnam
9%
Argentina
8%
Austria
8%
Brazil
8%
Bulgaria
8%
Canada
8%
Chile
8%
Colombia
8%
Croatia
8%
Czech Republic
8%
Egypt
8%
Greece
8%
Kazakhstan
8%
Latvia
8%
Lithuania
8%
Moldova
8%
Mexico
8%
Romania
8%
Slovenia
8%
Germany
6%
Turkmenistan
3%
Sweden
2%
If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 30, 2026, 11:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...India, Uzbekistan, and the United States lead trader pricing for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad open section in Samarkand, reflecting closely matched roster strength and recent announcements. India enters as defending champions with a largely intact core from its 2024 Budapest gold, though cooling ratings and the weight of expectations keep its implied probability near 30 percent. Uzbekistan benefits from home-soil hosting and confirmed participation by multiple top-five players, while the U.S. squad of Caruana, So, Niemann, Aronian, and Liang offers reliable depth and recent match-play experience against Uzbekistan in Miami. China rounds out the top tier at around 10 percent on squad potential, but depth and consistency among the leading four nations sustain a tight contest with no side exceeding a modest edge in the wisdom-of-crowds assessment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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