Skip to main content

Quem previsões e probabilidades

·
Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

89%

Steve Hilton

$2M Vol.

$305K today

$377K Liq.

26

Ends há 5 dias

LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?

LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?

95%

Bass & Raman

$990K Vol.

$201K today

$248K Liq.

46

Ends há 5 dias

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

33%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$14M Vol.

$128K today

$2M Liq.

307

Ends em 7 meses

Who will Trump speak to in June?

Who will Trump speak to in June?

99%

Emmanuel Macron

$197K Vol.

$172K Liq.

Ends em 23 dias

Who will Trump publicly praise by June 30?

Who will Trump publicly praise by June 30?

90%

Dana White

$60.6K Vol.

$46.4K Liq.

Ends em 25 dias

Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?

Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?

74%

Paramount

$1M Vol.

$45.1K Liq.

56

Ends em cerca de 1 ano

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

24%

Steve Witkoff

$1M Vol.

$95.4K Liq.

77

Ends em 23 dias

Who will attend the NATO Summit?

Who will attend the NATO Summit?

96%

Donald Trump

$29.7K Vol.

$26.1K Liq.

3

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Who will buy the Seattle Seahawks?

Who will buy the Seattle Seahawks?

11%

Jeff Bezos

$207K Vol.

$13.0K Liq.

3

Ends em 3 meses

NBA Playoffs: Who will attend the NBA Finals?

NBA Playoffs: Who will attend the NBA Finals?

38%

Kawhi Leonard

$18.1K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

4

Ends em 13 dias

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

18%

Hunter Biden

$705K Vol.

$630K Liq.

17

Ends em 7 meses

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

54%

Emmanuel Macron

$682K Vol.

$51.1K Liq.

Ends em 23 dias

Who visited Epstein's Island?

Who visited Epstein's Island?

3%

Steve Bannon

$2M Vol.

$187K Liq.

129

Ends em 23 dias

Who will Trump meet with in June?

Who will Trump meet with in June?

95%

Giorgia Meloni

$56.1K Vol.

$86.6K Liq.

Ends em 23 dias

Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?

Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?

29%

No announcement by December 31

$73.2K Vol.

$95.8K Liq.

1

Ends em 7 meses

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

30%

Steve Witkoff

$19.5K Vol.

$61.2K Liq.

Ends em 23 dias

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

2%

Any U.S. House member

$407K Vol.

$80.5K Liq.

4

Ends em 23 dias

Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

83%

Janeese Lewis George

$136K Vol.

$36.1K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

57%

Kash Patel

$1M Vol.

$57.1K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Who will acquire TikTok?

Who will acquire TikTok?

1%

AppLovin

$1M Vol.

$41.4K Liq.

43

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Quem.

Polymarket currently hosts 1903 active markets for Quem that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will advance from the California Governor primary?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $26.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 33% chance to Benjamin Netanyahu. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Quem predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.