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EleiçõEs Em Taiwan previsões e probabilidades

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2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

81%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$117K Vol.

$36.7K Liq.

33

Ends em 6 meses

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

1%

$1M Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

Ends em 21 dias

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

7%

$50.1K Vol.

$17.1K Liq.

6

Ends em 7 meses

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

10%

$2M Vol.

$30.4K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

49%

Labour

$88 Vol.

$158 Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

3%

$855K Vol.

$80.4K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

43%

Labour 15%+

$506 Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?

Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?

7%

$11.9K Vol.

$36.2K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

1%

$11M Vol.

$75.0K today

$254K Liq.

Ends em 21 dias

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

7%

$34M Vol.

$240K today

$576K Liq.

73

Ends em 7 meses

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

45%

National Party

$2.8K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

1%

$2M Vol.

$45.8K Liq.

Ends em 21 dias

New Zealand Election: Turnout

New Zealand Election: Turnout

28%

84%+

$599 Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

45%

Green Party

$1.9K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

1

Ends em 5 meses

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

44%

35-39

$757 Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

47%

35-39

$439 Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

New Zealand legislative election winner?

New Zealand legislative election winner?

55%

Labour Party

$4.2K Vol.

$20.1K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner

Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner

98%

Prosperity

$13.4K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

7

Ends há 8 dias

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

18%

$104K Vol.

$30.5K Liq.

12

Ends em 7 meses

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

2%

$42.6K Vol.

$24.2K Liq.

3

Ends em 21 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for EleiçõEs Em Taiwan that lets you track or trade on predictions like “2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $50.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 93% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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