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Assuntos RegulatóRios previsões e probabilidades

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Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

6%

June 30

$76.7K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

3

Ends em 21 dias

Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?

Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?

37%

Kyle Diamantas

$11.8K Vol.

$35.0K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

22%

$23.6K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

2

Ends em 7 meses

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

1%

June 30

$43.1K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

Ends em 21 dias

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

11%

Truist

$23.8K Vol.

$64.7K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?

FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?

72%

$2.1K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends em 21 dias

FDA approves Merck's Welireg + Keytruda or Keytruda Qlex?

FDA approves Merck's Welireg + Keytruda or Keytruda Qlex?

81%

$274 Vol.

$178 Liq.

Ends em 10 dias

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

2%

KeyBank

$529K Vol.

$51.5K Liq.

Ends em 21 dias

FDA approves Arcalyst technology transfer?

FDA approves Arcalyst technology transfer?

81%

$2.1K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends em 10 dias

Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin?

Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin?

65%

85%+

$8.3K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

Ends em 16 dias

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

7%

July 31

$949K Vol.

$12.1K Liq.

4

Ends em 7 meses

FDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen?

FDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen?

75%

$1.6K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends em 21 dias

FDA approves Unicycive's Oxylanthanum carbonate?

FDA approves Unicycive's Oxylanthanum carbonate?

77%

$3.4K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends em 20 dias

FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?

FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?

71%

$3.6K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

FDA approves Camurus' Oclaiz?

FDA approves Camurus' Oclaiz?

78%

$357 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

FDA approves Arcutis' Zoryve cream?

FDA approves Arcutis' Zoryve cream?

81%

$769 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends em 20 dias

Will RH Q1 revenue be above __?

Will RH Q1 revenue be above __?

87%

$750M

$149 Vol.

$176 Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

90%

$1.2B

$17.5K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

2%

June 30

$600K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

37

Ends em 21 dias

Delta (DAL) Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile (cents)?

Delta (DAL) Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile (cents)?

50%

19¢–20¢

$25 Vol.

$116 Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 131 active markets for Assuntos RegulatóRios that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...? ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...? ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 25% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Assuntos RegulatóRios predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.