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Gpt 4.5 previsões e probabilidades

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GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

98%

July 31

$760K Vol.

$80.1K today

$38.9K Liq.

11

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

59%

June 15–June 21

$97.1K Vol.

$36.9K Liq.

Ends em 18 dias

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

84%

December 31, 2026

$344K Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

44

Ends há 5 meses

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

41%

60%+

$39.4K Vol.

$989 Liq.

4

Ends em 20 dias

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

8%

50%+

$25.2K Vol.

$752 Liq.

1

Ends em 20 dias

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

54%

GPT-6 released

$23M Vol.

$703K Liq.

885

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

97%

September 30

$23.8K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Atreides

$1.8K Vol.

Ends há 27 dias

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

71%

4+

$8.3K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

Ends em 20 dias

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs LFO (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs LFO (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

100%

ENJOY

$904 Vol.

Ends há 2 meses

Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage

100%

Phantom

$133K Vol.

Ends há 15 dias

Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group B

Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group B

100%

HyperSpirit

$11.3K Vol.

Ends há 6 dias

Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

SHISHKA

$603 Vol.

Ends há 29 dias

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$169K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

30

Ends em 20 dias

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Skele

$4.6K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 4 meses

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

LPH Gaming

$33.2K Vol.

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

White House # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

White House # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

44%

160-179

$23.3K Vol.

$29.5K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

64%

0

$1M Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

9

Ends em 10 meses

Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage

71%

Ursa

$930 Vol.

$122K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 19 horas

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Endless Journey

$1.4K Vol.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Gpt 4.5.

Polymarket currently hosts 108 active markets for Gpt 4.5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “GPT-5.6 released by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $25.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will happen before GTA VI?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will happen before GTA VI?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 54% chance to GPT-6 released. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Gpt 4.5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.