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Gpt 4 previsões e probabilidades

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OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

30%

50%+

$24.9K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

1

Ends em 23 dias

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

29%

60%+

$37.5K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

4

Ends em 23 dias

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

60%

June 15–June 21

$63.5K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

Ends em 21 dias

GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

97%

July 31

$636K Vol.

$32.1K Liq.

7

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

83%

December 31, 2026

$336K Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

44

Ends há 5 meses

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

67%

4+

$7.3K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

Ends em 23 dias

VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

21%

June 30

$43.8K Vol.

$38 Liq.

1

Ends há 2 meses

General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth?

General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth?

35%

-1.5%–0%

$24.4K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group B

Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group B

51%

Atreides

$39.9K Vol.

$391K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 7 horas

Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group B

Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group B

100%

HyperSpirit

$11.3K Vol.

Ends há 4 dias

Counter-Strike: GenOne vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group D

Counter-Strike: GenOne vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group D

55%

GenOne

$2.8K Vol.

$18.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 13 horas

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs LFO (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs LFO (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

100%

ENJOY

$904 Vol.

Ends há 2 meses

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

64%

0

$1M Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

9

Ends em 10 meses

Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs WROTBERRY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs WROTBERRY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

100%

ZOTIX

$1.8K Vol.

Ends há 2 meses

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Counter-Strike: Skele vs LE-LUX Esports (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group B

Skele

$4.6K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 4 meses

Will NIKE Q4 Greater China revenue be above __ ?

Will NIKE Q4 Greater China revenue be above __ ?

97%

$1.1B

$222 Vol.

$71 Liq.

Ends em 18 dias

Will NIKE Q4 NIKE Branded Footwear revenue be above __?

Will NIKE Q4 NIKE Branded Footwear revenue be above __?

89%

$6.8B

$49 Vol.

$236 Liq.

Ends em 18 dias

Claude Opus 4.8: Arena Debut?

Claude Opus 4.8: Arena Debut?

99%

<1480

$70.4K Vol.

$63.8K Liq.

28

Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group C

Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group C

57%

NEW VISION

$1.2K Vol.

$28.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 10 horas

Counter-Strike: mixmix vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: mixmix vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

100%

CYBERSHOKE Prospects

$2.8K Vol.

Ends há 2 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Gpt 4.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Gpt 4 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group B”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 64% chance to 0. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Gpt 4 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.