Skip to main content
icon for Vencedor do Main Event do WSOP
Desporto·WSOP

Vencedor do Main Event do WSOP

icon for Vencedor do Main Event do WSOP
Desporto·WSOP

Vencedor do Main Event do WSOP

Lucas Jumalon 100.0%

Lauri Saaskilahti <1%

Michael Gagliano <1%

Mario Boos <1%

Polymarket

$535,836 Vol.

Lucas Jumalon 100.0%

Lauri Saaskilahti <1%

Michael Gagliano <1%

Mario Boos <1%

Polymarket

$535,836 Vol.

Michael Gagliano

$36,134 Vol.

Não

Mario Boos

$9,153 Vol.

Não

Lauri Saaskilahti

$120,280 Vol.

Não

Han Feng

$49,688 Vol.

Não

Evagoras Evagorou

$5,458 Vol.

Não

Lucas Jumalon

$266,026 Vol.

Sim

Rami Hammoud

$16,454 Vol.

Não

Jamie Shaevel

$11,294 Vol.

Não

Greg Mueller

$21,348 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada. If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lucas Jumalon holds overwhelming market consensus in the WSOP Main Event due to his commanding chip lead entering heads-up play against Lauri Saaskilahti, built through consistent aggressive play across nine days of action from a field of 9,208 entrants. The 22-year-old from Spokane maintained the top stack through multiple days of the final table, leveraging superior position and stack depth to control proceedings in a format where chip advantage often translates directly to bracelet contention. Recent final-table reports confirm he extended that edge wire-to-wire, reflecting trader recognition of his momentum and the structural barriers facing shorter stacks. Only confirmed late developments such as an unexpected heads-up reversal or unresolved tournament suspension could realistically shift implied probabilities away from the current leader.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada.

If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$535,836
Mercado Aberto
Jul 14, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada. If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada. If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lucas Jumalon holds overwhelming market consensus in the WSOP Main Event due to his commanding chip lead entering heads-up play against Lauri Saaskilahti, built through consistent aggressive play across nine days of action from a field of 9,208 entrants. The 22-year-old from Spokane maintained the top stack through multiple days of the final table, leveraging superior position and stack depth to control proceedings in a format where chip advantage often translates directly to bracelet contention. Recent final-table reports confirm he extended that edge wire-to-wire, reflecting trader recognition of his momentum and the structural barriers facing shorter stacks. Only confirmed late developments such as an unexpected heads-up reversal or unresolved tournament suspension could realistically shift implied probabilities away from the current leader.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada.

If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$535,836
Mercado Aberto
Jul 14, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada. If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

Relacionado

icon for Will Shaun Deeb win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year?

Will Shaun Deeb win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year?

45%
icon for Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?

Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?

82%
icon for Will Wesley So Win the Sinquefield Cup?

Will Wesley So Win the Sinquefield Cup?

42%

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Main Event do WSOP" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lucas Jumalon" at 100%, followed by "Michael Gagliano" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Main Event do WSOP" has generated $535.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Main Event do WSOP," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Main Event do WSOP" is "Lucas Jumalon" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Michael Gagliano" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Main Event do WSOP" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.