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Desporto·Futebol

Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

icon for Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo
Desporto·Futebol

Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo

Espanha 100.0%

Nova Zelândia <1%

Suíça <1%

Inglaterra <1%

Polymarket

$4,327,988,660 Vol.

Espanha 100.0%

Nova Zelândia <1%

Suíça <1%

Inglaterra <1%

Polymarket

$4,327,988,660 Vol.

icon for Espanha

Espanha

$152,168,022 Vol.

Sim

icon for Nova Zelândia

Nova Zelândia

$47,529,247 Vol.

Não

icon for Suíça

Suíça

$132,837,716 Vol.

Não

icon for Inglaterra

Inglaterra

$110,162,254 Vol.

Não

icon for França

França

$132,448,347 Vol.

Não

icon for Coreia do Sul

Coreia do Sul

$107,521,229 Vol.

Não

icon for Haiti

Haiti

$33,265,927 Vol.

Não

icon for Brasil

Brasil

$81,936,875 Vol.

Não

icon for Jordânia

Jordânia

$33,082,576 Vol.

Não

icon for Curaçao

Curaçao

$44,007,493 Vol.

Não

icon for Argentina

Argentina

$174,315,688 Vol.

Não

icon for Alemanha

Alemanha

$80,873,590 Vol.

Não

icon for Colômbia

Colômbia

$104,668,584 Vol.

Não

icon for Irã

Irã

$62,233,146 Vol.

Não

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$109,092,962 Vol.

Não

icon for Gana

Gana

$89,137,687 Vol.

Não

icon for Holanda

Holanda

$77,727,053 Vol.

Não

icon for Argélia

Argélia

$90,337,041 Vol.

Não

icon for Bósnia-Herzegovina

Bósnia-Herzegovina

$63,473,943 Vol.

Não

icon for Itália

Itália

$8,666,273 Vol.

Não

icon for EUA

EUA

$142,460,222 Vol.

Não

icon for Canadá

Canadá

$102,858,403 Vol.

Não

icon for Turquia

Turquia

$61,684,097 Vol.

Não

icon for Uruguai

Uruguai

$78,019,362 Vol.

Não

icon for México

México

$137,807,961 Vol.

Não

icon for Paraguai

Paraguai

$107,400,631 Vol.

Não

icon for Escócia

Escócia

$67,943,137 Vol.

Não

icon for Peru

Peru

$264,590 Vol.

Não

icon for Japão

Japão

$95,790,683 Vol.

Não

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$137,345,387 Vol.

Não

icon for Tunísia

Tunísia

$36,470,356 Vol.

Não

icon for Equador

Equador

$96,888,032 Vol.

Não

icon for Uzbequistão

Uzbequistão

$61,524,249 Vol.

Não

icon for Marrocos

Marrocos

$152,254,451 Vol.

Não

icon for Panamá

Panamá

$20,049,174 Vol.

Não

icon for Iraque

Iraque

$30,615,071 Vol.

Não

icon for África do Sul

África do Sul

$46,577,445 Vol.

Não

icon for Senegal

Senegal

$80,692,766 Vol.

Não

icon for Costa do Marfim

Costa do Marfim

$111,749,188 Vol.

Não

icon for RD Congo

RD Congo

$96,120,346 Vol.

Não

icon for Cabo Verde

Cabo Verde

$119,207,233 Vol.

Não

icon for Chéquia

Chéquia

$57,485,267 Vol.

Não

icon for Catar

Catar

$45,097,303 Vol.

Não

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$129,278,677 Vol.

Não

icon for Austrália

Austrália

$88,367,393 Vol.

Não

icon for Arábia Saudita

Arábia Saudita

$57,271,837 Vol.

Não

icon for Áustria

Áustria

$85,671,553 Vol.

Não

icon for Croácia

Croácia

$109,483,287 Vol.

Não

icon for Egito

Egito

$158,580,819 Vol.

Não

icon for Suécia

Suécia

$77,544,087 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 18.4% implied probability after opening with a 3-1 victory over Senegal featuring multiple goals from Kylian Mbappé, while Spain sits at 13.8% following a surprising 0-0 draw against Cape Verde that tempered expectations from its Euro 2024-winning squad. England (12.8%) and defending champion Argentina (11.6%) remain tightly clustered behind them after strong early results, including England’s 4-2 win over Croatia and Argentina’s emphatic performances. The bunched pricing among the top five reflects the expanded 48-team format, comparable squad depth and star power across elite European sides, and limited separation in group-stage results so far. Portugal, Brazil, and Germany trail but stay within striking distance as traders weigh recent form, injuries, and knockout-stage matchups that remain weeks away.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,327,988,660
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 18.4% implied probability after opening with a 3-1 victory over Senegal featuring multiple goals from Kylian Mbappé, while Spain sits at 13.8% following a surprising 0-0 draw against Cape Verde that tempered expectations from its Euro 2024-winning squad. England (12.8%) and defending champion Argentina (11.6%) remain tightly clustered behind them after strong early results, including England’s 4-2 win over Croatia and Argentina’s emphatic performances. The bunched pricing among the top five reflects the expanded 48-team format, comparable squad depth and star power across elite European sides, and limited separation in group-stage results so far. Portugal, Brazil, and Germany trail but stay within striking distance as traders weigh recent form, injuries, and knockout-stage matchups that remain weeks away.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,327,988,660
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Espanha" at 100%, followed by "Nova Zelândia" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo" has generated $4.3 billion in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo" is "Espanha" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nova Zelândia" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Campeonato do Mundo" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.