Traders assign a 96.7% implied probability that the United States will not annex any territory in 2026 due to the absence of pending legislation, treaty negotiations, or executive proposals advancing congressional approval for new territorial incorporation. Annexation requires Senate ratification or specific statutory action, neither of which appears on the current legislative calendar amid priorities centered on alliances, trade policy, and administration of existing territories. No recent diplomatic signals or disputes have escalated toward formal U.S. control. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unforeseen bilateral agreement, sudden resolution of a long-standing claim through treaty ratification, or an unanticipated request meeting constitutional thresholds before December 31.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$154,658 Vol.
$154,658 Vol.
Sim
$154,658 Vol.
$154,658 Vol.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 96.7% implied probability that the United States will not annex any territory in 2026 due to the absence of pending legislation, treaty negotiations, or executive proposals advancing congressional approval for new territorial incorporation. Annexation requires Senate ratification or specific statutory action, neither of which appears on the current legislative calendar amid priorities centered on alliances, trade policy, and administration of existing territories. No recent diplomatic signals or disputes have escalated toward formal U.S. control. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unforeseen bilateral agreement, sudden resolution of a long-standing claim through treaty ratification, or an unanticipated request meeting constitutional thresholds before December 31.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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