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icon for Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?

Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?

icon for Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?

Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?

NOVO

$13,954 Vol.

1 out 2026
Polymarket

$13,954 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de setembro

$6,766 Vol.

8%

31 de dezembro

$7,188 Vol.

23%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.Drake’s May 2026 surprise triple-album drop of Iceman, Habibti, and Maid of Honour—his first solo projects since For All the Dogs—reset expectations for his output pace after the 2025 collaborative effort with PartyNextDoor. That 43-track blitz, teased for nearly two years via livestreams and a dramatic Toronto ice sculpture stunt, delivered dominant chart performance and reinforced his pattern of high-volume releases. Now, early September social-media posts teasing “FOMO” (Fear of Missing Out) and a September 15 YouTube livestream have revived speculation about additional music, possibly a fourth 2026 album. Traders weigh this momentum against the opacity of his rollouts, where confirmed announcements often follow cryptic teases, and note that any resolution hinges on whether the stream yields a full project before the market’s cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Volume
$13,954
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.Drake’s May 2026 surprise triple-album drop of Iceman, Habibti, and Maid of Honour—his first solo projects since For All the Dogs—reset expectations for his output pace after the 2025 collaborative effort with PartyNextDoor. That 43-track blitz, teased for nearly two years via livestreams and a dramatic Toronto ice sculpture stunt, delivered dominant chart performance and reinforced his pattern of high-volume releases. Now, early September social-media posts teasing “FOMO” (Fear of Missing Out) and a September 15 YouTube livestream have revived speculation about additional music, possibly a fourth 2026 album. Traders weigh this momentum against the opacity of his rollouts, where confirmed announcements often follow cryptic teases, and note that any resolution hinges on whether the stream yields a full project before the market’s cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Volume
$13,954
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 23%, followed by "30 de setembro" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?" has generated $14K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?" is "31 de dezembro" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de setembro" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Drake vai lançar um novo álbum do...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.