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icon for Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?

Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?

icon for Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?

Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?

NOVO
31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$502 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de setembro de 2026

$19 Vol.

8%

31 de dezembro de 2026

$484 Vol.

18%

30 de junho de 2027

$0 Vol.

53%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Clarence Thomas, 77, has given no public signals of retirement plans as of mid-2026, with sources close to the justice confirming he intends to remain on the Supreme Court through the year. Speculation intensified in April and May around White House efforts to encourage strategic departures by Thomas and Samuel Alito ahead of November midterms, aiming to secure Senate confirmation of replacements while Republicans hold the chamber. Thomas has long expressed a desire to serve for decades, previously referencing a timeline extending into the 2030s, and he approaches a potential longevity record in 2028. No health concerns have been publicly reported, and analysts note the justice's consistent resistance to timing exits around electoral cycles. Traders weigh these statements and historical patterns against the slim possibility of a late-term announcement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
Volume
$502
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Clarence Thomas, 77, has given no public signals of retirement plans as of mid-2026, with sources close to the justice confirming he intends to remain on the Supreme Court through the year. Speculation intensified in April and May around White House efforts to encourage strategic departures by Thomas and Samuel Alito ahead of November midterms, aiming to secure Senate confirmation of replacements while Republicans hold the chamber. Thomas has long expressed a desire to serve for decades, previously referencing a timeline extending into the 2030s, and he approaches a potential longevity record in 2028. No health concerns have been publicly reported, and analysts note the justice's consistent resistance to timing exits around electoral cycles. Traders weigh these statements and historical patterns against the slim possibility of a late-term announcement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
Volume
$502
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30 de junho de 2027" at 54%, followed by "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?" is "30 de junho de 2027" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Clarence Thomas vai anunciar a sua reforma até...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.