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icon for Quem será o campeão peso mosca do UFC no final de 2026?

Quem será o campeão peso mosca do UFC no final de 2026?

icon for Quem será o campeão peso mosca do UFC no final de 2026?

Quem será o campeão peso mosca do UFC no final de 2026?

Joshua Van 50%

Alexandre Pantoja 43%

Manel Kape 2.1%

Tim Elliott <1%

Polymarket

$1,180,569 Vol.

Joshua Van 50%

Alexandre Pantoja 43%

Manel Kape 2.1%

Tim Elliott <1%

Polymarket

$1,180,569 Vol.

Joshua Van

$6,527 Vol.

50%

Alexandre Pantoja

$8,827 Vol.

43%

Manel Kape

$3,406 Vol.

2%

Tim Elliott

$305,814 Vol.

<1%

Amir Albazi

$789,753 Vol.

<1%

Asu Almabayev

$58,556 Vol.

<1%

Tatsuro Taira

$1,849 Vol.

<1%

Kyoji Horiguchi

$1,470 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Moreno

$1,426 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Royval

$1,189 Vol.

<1%

Steve Erceg

$1,752 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Joshua Van holds the UFC flyweight title after capturing it from Alexandre Pantoja via first-round TKO at UFC 323 in December 2025 due to an early arm injury and successfully defending against Tatsuro Taira via fifth-round stoppage at UFC 328 in May 2026. The division's tight trader consensus stems from their high-profile rematch headlining UFC 331 on September 19, where Pantoja returns fully recovered and motivated to reclaim the belt against the younger Myanmar-born champion. Additional numbered events through December, including potential defenses or title bouts at UFC 334 and 335, leave room for further shifts among contenders like Manel Kape. This setup underscores competitive dynamics in a shallow division where recent form, injury recovery, and matchup outcomes heavily influence implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$1,180,569
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Joshua Van holds the UFC flyweight title after capturing it from Alexandre Pantoja via first-round TKO at UFC 323 in December 2025 due to an early arm injury and successfully defending against Tatsuro Taira via fifth-round stoppage at UFC 328 in May 2026. The division's tight trader consensus stems from their high-profile rematch headlining UFC 331 on September 19, where Pantoja returns fully recovered and motivated to reclaim the belt against the younger Myanmar-born champion. Additional numbered events through December, including potential defenses or title bouts at UFC 334 and 335, leave room for further shifts among contenders like Manel Kape. This setup underscores competitive dynamics in a shallow division where recent form, injury recovery, and matchup outcomes heavily influence implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$1,180,569
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem será o campeão peso mosca do UFC no final de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Joshua Van" at 50%, followed by "Alexandre Pantoja" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem será o campeão peso mosca do UFC no final de 2026?" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem será o campeão peso mosca do UFC no final de 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem será o campeão peso mosca do UFC no final de 2026?" is "Joshua Van" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandre Pantoja" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem será o campeão peso mosca do UFC no final de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.