The NFL single-season rushing touchdown record of 28, set by LaDainian Tomlinson in 2006, has stood untouched through two decades of evolving offenses that favor passing and backfield committees. Recent leaders, including Jonathan Taylor and Jahmyr Gibbs with 18 each in 2025, fell well short, and 2026 projections place top candidates such as Taylor, Bijan Robinson, Gibbs, and Derrick Henry in the low-to-mid teens. This creates a closely contested market, as trader consensus reflects both the record’s durability and the remote possibility that a workhorse back in a run-heavy scheme could post historic volume near the goal line. Developments that could shift sentiment include confirmed heavy workloads for one elite back, major injuries to competing rushers, or scheme changes that increase red-zone opportunities, while sustained pass-first trends or committee approaches would reinforce the current lean toward no player reaching the mark.