Sustained measles transmission in 2026, driven by declining childhood vaccination coverage and multiple ongoing outbreaks, forms the core driver of trader sentiment on total U.S. cases by August 31. As of August 6, the CDC reported 2,465 confirmed cases for the year—already exceeding the full 2025 total—with 94% linked to outbreaks and 93% occurring in unvaccinated individuals. Recent weekly increments of 24–78 cases reflect persistent community spread, particularly in states such as Utah and Pennsylvania. Official surveillance updates from the CDC, alongside any shifts in state-level reporting or vaccination campaigns, represent the key near-term data releases that could influence case trajectories before the August 31 cutoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCasos de sarampo nos EUA até 31 de agosto?
2.500+
98%
2550+
93%
2600+
86%
$7,637 Vol.
2.500+
98%
2550+
93%
2600+
86%
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 31, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
Sustained measles transmission in 2026, driven by declining childhood vaccination coverage and multiple ongoing outbreaks, forms the core driver of trader sentiment on total U.S. cases by August 31. As of August 6, the CDC reported 2,465 confirmed cases for the year—already exceeding the full 2025 total—with 94% linked to outbreaks and 93% occurring in unvaccinated individuals. Recent weekly increments of 24–78 cases reflect persistent community spread, particularly in states such as Utah and Pennsylvania. Official surveillance updates from the CDC, alongside any shifts in state-level reporting or vaccination campaigns, represent the key near-term data releases that could influence case trajectories before the August 31 cutoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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