Recent western U.S. heat waves and NOAA forecasts for above-normal temperatures through mid-August have created tight competition among low-to-moderate bins in this market. Traders weigh the potential for dozens of stations to surpass historical maxima against the challenge of exceeding entrenched all-time highs, especially outside peak heat-dome zones. July’s widespread record breaks set a high bar, while early August activity in the Southwest and Plains could add incremental gains without guaranteeing broad surges. Variability in heat persistence, regional coverage, and any late-month cooling could quickly shift probabilities between the 0-20 and 21-60 ranges that currently lead.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuantos recordes históricos de alta temperatura serão quebrados nas estações meteorológicas dos EUA em agosto de 2026?
Quantos recordes históricos de alta temperatura serão quebrados nas estações meteorológicas dos EUA em agosto de 2026?
21-60 43%
61-100 40%
0-20 39%
151+ 35%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
0-20
39%
21-60
43%
61-100
40%
101-150
32%
151+
35%
21-60 43%
61-100 40%
0-20 39%
151+ 35%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
0-20
$0 Vol.
39%
21-60
$0 Vol.
43%
61-100
$0 Vol.
40%
101-150
$0 Vol.
32%
151+
$0 Vol.
35%
This market resolves to the number shown in the "BROKEN" column of NOAA's Daily Weather Records tool when filtered to all-time record highs for August 2026. Tied records do not count. The tool is located at https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datatools/records.
The Timescale will be All-Time Records", "Highest Max Temperature" for Parameter, and the month of August 2026 for the Date Range. The number in the "BROKEN" column is the resolution value. Only records broken in the United States will resolve this market.
Full documentation of the GHCN-Daily dataset is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/global-historical-climatology-network-daily.
The market resolves on September 15, 2026, based on the value shown in the tool at that time. This reading is final. Any corrections, revisions, or additional data that NOAA processes after September 15 will not affect the outcome. September 15 snapshot may not include all August records due to reporting lag but will govern the resolution regardless.Recent western U.S. heat waves and NOAA forecasts for above-normal temperatures through mid-August have created tight competition among low-to-moderate bins in this market. Traders weigh the potential for dozens of stations to surpass historical maxima against the challenge of exceeding entrenched all-time highs, especially outside peak heat-dome zones. July’s widespread record breaks set a high bar, while early August activity in the Southwest and Plains could add incremental gains without guaranteeing broad surges. Variability in heat persistence, regional coverage, and any late-month cooling could quickly shift probabilities between the 0-20 and 21-60 ranges that currently lead.
This market resolves to the number shown in the "BROKEN" column of NOAA's Daily Weather Records tool when filtered to all-time record highs for August 2026. Tied records do not count. The tool is located at https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datatools/records.
The Timescale will be All-Time Records", "Highest Max Temperature" for Parameter, and the month of August 2026 for the Date Range. The number in the "BROKEN" column is the resolution value. Only records broken in the United States will resolve this market.
Full documentation of the GHCN-Daily dataset is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/global-historical-climatology-network-daily.
The market resolves on September 15, 2026, based on the value shown in the tool at that time. This reading is final. Any corrections, revisions, or additional data that NOAA processes after September 15 will not affect the outcome. September 15 snapshot may not include all August records due to reporting lag but will govern the resolution regardless.
The Timescale will be All-Time Records", "Highest Max Temperature" for Parameter, and the month of August 2026 for the Date Range. The number in the "BROKEN" column is the resolution value. Only records broken in the United States will resolve this market.
Full documentation of the GHCN-Daily dataset is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/global-historical-climatology-network-daily.
The market resolves on September 15, 2026, based on the value shown in the tool at that time. This reading is final. Any corrections, revisions, or additional data that NOAA processes after September 15 will not affect the outcome. September 15 snapshot may not include all August records due to reporting lag but will govern the resolution regardless.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 30, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market resolves to the number shown in the "BROKEN" column of NOAA's Daily Weather Records tool when filtered to all-time record highs for August 2026. Tied records do not count. The tool is located at https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datatools/records.
The Timescale will be All-Time Records", "Highest Max Temperature" for Parameter, and the month of August 2026 for the Date Range. The number in the "BROKEN" column is the resolution value. Only records broken in the United States will resolve this market.
Full documentation of the GHCN-Daily dataset is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/global-historical-climatology-network-daily.
The market resolves on September 15, 2026, based on the value shown in the tool at that time. This reading is final. Any corrections, revisions, or additional data that NOAA processes after September 15 will not affect the outcome. September 15 snapshot may not include all August records due to reporting lag but will govern the resolution regardless.Recent western U.S. heat waves and NOAA forecasts for above-normal temperatures through mid-August have created tight competition among low-to-moderate bins in this market. Traders weigh the potential for dozens of stations to surpass historical maxima against the challenge of exceeding entrenched all-time highs, especially outside peak heat-dome zones. July’s widespread record breaks set a high bar, while early August activity in the Southwest and Plains could add incremental gains without guaranteeing broad surges. Variability in heat persistence, regional coverage, and any late-month cooling could quickly shift probabilities between the 0-20 and 21-60 ranges that currently lead.
This market resolves to the number shown in the "BROKEN" column of NOAA's Daily Weather Records tool when filtered to all-time record highs for August 2026. Tied records do not count. The tool is located at https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datatools/records.
The Timescale will be All-Time Records", "Highest Max Temperature" for Parameter, and the month of August 2026 for the Date Range. The number in the "BROKEN" column is the resolution value. Only records broken in the United States will resolve this market.
Full documentation of the GHCN-Daily dataset is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/global-historical-climatology-network-daily.
The market resolves on September 15, 2026, based on the value shown in the tool at that time. This reading is final. Any corrections, revisions, or additional data that NOAA processes after September 15 will not affect the outcome. September 15 snapshot may not include all August records due to reporting lag but will govern the resolution regardless.
The Timescale will be All-Time Records", "Highest Max Temperature" for Parameter, and the month of August 2026 for the Date Range. The number in the "BROKEN" column is the resolution value. Only records broken in the United States will resolve this market.
Full documentation of the GHCN-Daily dataset is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/global-historical-climatology-network-daily.
The market resolves on September 15, 2026, based on the value shown in the tool at that time. This reading is final. Any corrections, revisions, or additional data that NOAA processes after September 15 will not affect the outcome. September 15 snapshot may not include all August records due to reporting lag but will govern the resolution regardless.
Volume
$0Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent western U.S. heat waves and NOAA forecasts for above-normal temperatures through mid-August have created tight competition among low-to-moderate bins in this market. Traders weigh the potential for dozens of stations to surpass historical maxima against the challenge of exceeding entrenched all-time highs, especially outside peak heat-dome zones. July’s widespread record breaks set a high bar, while early August activity in the Southwest and Plains could add incremental gains without guaranteeing broad surges. Variability in heat persistence, regional coverage, and any late-month cooling could quickly shift probabilities between the 0-20 and 21-60 ranges that currently lead.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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