Trader consensus heavily favors no handshake between the US and Israeli leaders at 99.2 percent, driven by the absence of any scheduled bilateral meetings, summits, or official visits in the near term that would create a photo opportunity. Standing diplomatic schedules, competing policy priorities, and the lack of recent high-level engagements between the administrations have left no immediate catalyst for such an interaction. This positioning aligns with historical patterns where unscheduled encounters remain rare absent advance planning. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unscheduled diplomatic development, emergency regional talks, or a last-minute White House invitation within the market's resolution window, though these remain low-probability events based on current timelines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSem Aperto de Mãos 99.2%
2–6s <1%
6–10s <1%
10–15s <1%
$77,386 Vol.
$77,386 Vol.
31 jul 2026
Sem Aperto de Mãos
99%
<2s
<1%
2–6s
1%
6–10s
1%
10–15s
1%
15s+
<1%
Apenas fotografados
<1%
Sem Aperto de Mãos 99.2%
2–6s <1%
6–10s <1%
10–15s <1%
$77,386 Vol.
$77,386 Vol.
31 jul 2026
Sem Aperto de Mãos
$28,513 Vol.
99%
<2s
$3,912 Vol.
<1%
2–6s
$6,863 Vol.
1%
6–10s
$15,087 Vol.
1%
10–15s
$10,347 Vol.
1%
15s+
$4,500 Vol.
<1%
Apenas fotografados
$8,163 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu during the day (ET) of their next meeting by July 31, 2026. Any handshake recorded on that date (ET) will qualify.
This market will resolve at the earlier of: (i) the publication of full-length video confirming the length of a qualifying handshake; or (ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting.
If no handshake is confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, or if no meeting takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but its full length is not captured on a video released by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be photographic and videographic evidence.Trader consensus heavily favors no handshake between the US and Israeli leaders at 99.2 percent, driven by the absence of any scheduled bilateral meetings, summits, or official visits in the near term that would create a photo opportunity. Standing diplomatic schedules, competing policy priorities, and the lack of recent high-level engagements between the administrations have left no immediate catalyst for such an interaction. This positioning aligns with historical patterns where unscheduled encounters remain rare absent advance planning. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unscheduled diplomatic development, emergency regional talks, or a last-minute White House invitation within the market's resolution window, though these remain low-probability events based on current timelines.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu during the day (ET) of their next meeting by July 31, 2026. Any handshake recorded on that date (ET) will qualify.
This market will resolve at the earlier of: (i) the publication of full-length video confirming the length of a qualifying handshake; or (ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting.
If no handshake is confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, or if no meeting takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but its full length is not captured on a video released by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be photographic and videographic evidence.
This market will resolve at the earlier of: (i) the publication of full-length video confirming the length of a qualifying handshake; or (ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting.
If no handshake is confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, or if no meeting takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but its full length is not captured on a video released by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be photographic and videographic evidence.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 24, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Volume
$77,386Data de Término
31 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu during the day (ET) of their next meeting by July 31, 2026. Any handshake recorded on that date (ET) will qualify.
This market will resolve at the earlier of: (i) the publication of full-length video confirming the length of a qualifying handshake; or (ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting.
If no handshake is confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, or if no meeting takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but its full length is not captured on a video released by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be photographic and videographic evidence.Trader consensus heavily favors no handshake between the US and Israeli leaders at 99.2 percent, driven by the absence of any scheduled bilateral meetings, summits, or official visits in the near term that would create a photo opportunity. Standing diplomatic schedules, competing policy priorities, and the lack of recent high-level engagements between the administrations have left no immediate catalyst for such an interaction. This positioning aligns with historical patterns where unscheduled encounters remain rare absent advance planning. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unscheduled diplomatic development, emergency regional talks, or a last-minute White House invitation within the market's resolution window, though these remain low-probability events based on current timelines.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu during the day (ET) of their next meeting by July 31, 2026. Any handshake recorded on that date (ET) will qualify.
This market will resolve at the earlier of: (i) the publication of full-length video confirming the length of a qualifying handshake; or (ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting.
If no handshake is confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, or if no meeting takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but its full length is not captured on a video released by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be photographic and videographic evidence.
This market will resolve at the earlier of: (i) the publication of full-length video confirming the length of a qualifying handshake; or (ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting.
If no handshake is confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, or if no meeting takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but its full length is not captured on a video released by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be photographic and videographic evidence.
Volume
$77,386Data de Término
31 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors no handshake between the US and Israeli leaders at 99.2 percent, driven by the absence of any scheduled bilateral meetings, summits, or official visits in the near term that would create a photo opportunity. Standing diplomatic schedules, competing policy priorities, and the lack of recent high-level engagements between the administrations have left no immediate catalyst for such an interaction. This positioning aligns with historical patterns where unscheduled encounters remain rare absent advance planning. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unscheduled diplomatic development, emergency regional talks, or a last-minute White House invitation within the market's resolution window, though these remain low-probability events based on current timelines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Frequently Asked Questions